Value bet: Heming to win @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultHeming to win ✓55% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.75
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.77
Heming vs Frigg preview and prediction
The match
The 3. Division Girone 1 sees Heming take on Frigg on Saturday 12 September, kicking off at 12:00 (WAT). Heming are 2nd with 53 points from 26 games (in the top four), while Frigg sit 8th on 34 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Heming's last 5: LWLLD Most recently they lost to Gamle Oslo 1–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Frigg's last 5: WLDWD Most recently they beat IF Ready 5–2 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 13 June 2026, finished Frigg 4–1 Heming.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 2.4 for Heming and 1.6 for Frigg. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 75% and both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Heming 55%, draw 22%, Frigg 22%.
Value angle: Heming to win at 1.95 – 55% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Heming 2–1 Frigg. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Heming55%fair 1.80 · @1.95
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @4.33
Frigg22%fair 4.46 · @2.75
4.00Expected goals
2.44Heming xG
1.56Frigg xG
57%Both score
75%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–18%
1–17%
3–17%
2–27%
1–25%
2–05%
From our goals model: Heming 2.4 – 1.6 Frigg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Heming vs Frigg?
On our numbers Heming have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Frigg 22%.
How many goals will there be in Heming vs Frigg?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Heming vs Frigg?
Our predicted score is Heming 2–1 Frigg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Heming vs Frigg?
Heming vs Frigg (3. Division Girone 1) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
