Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBærum to win ✗44% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · fair 1.61
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 14.98
Frigg vs Bærum preview and prediction
The match
Frigg host Bærum in the 3. Division Girone 1 on Saturday 27 June, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT). Frigg are 8th with 34 points from 26 games (in the bottom half), while Bærum sit 5th on 40 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Frigg's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Lokomotiv Oslo 3–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game.
Bærum's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat Konnerud 7–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 3.3 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.5 goals: 2.1 for Frigg and 2.3 for Bærum. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 80% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Frigg 37%, draw 19%, Bærum 44%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Frigg 2–2 Bærum. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Frigg37%fair 2.71 · @2.60
Draw19%fair 5.22 · @4.33
Bærum44%fair 2.28 · @2.00
4.46Expected goals
2.13Frigg xG
2.33Bærum xG
62%Both score
80%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–27%
1–27%
2–16%
1–16%
2–36%
1–35%
From our goals model: Frigg 2.1 – 2.3 Bærum expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bærum to win✗
44%
2.28
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✗
81%
1.24
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
94%
1.07
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
1.20
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
Bærum ahead at half-time✗
37%
2.73
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bærum / FT Bærum✗
27%
3.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
14.98
–
Form
Frigg – last 6
WWWLWL
20 Jun
@ Lokomotiv Oslo
3–1
W
13 Jun
vs Heming
4–1
W
30 May
@ Gamle Oslo
3–1
W
23 May
vs Nordstrand
1–2
L
11 May
vs KFUM II
4–3
W
2 May
vs Asker
1–2
L
2.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Bærum – last 6
WWWLLW
20 Jun
vs Konnerud
7–2
W
14 Jun
@ KFUM II
4–1
W
30 May
vs SF Grei
5–0
W
23 May
@ IF Ready
2–4
L
10 May
@ Union Carl Berner
0–2
L
2 May
vs Lokomotiv Oslo
2–1
W
3.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Frigg and Bærum.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Frigg vs Bærum?
On our numbers Frigg have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Bærum 44%.
How many goals will there be in Frigg vs Bærum?
We expect about 4.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 80% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Frigg vs Bærum?
Our predicted score is Frigg 2–2 Bærum, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.5 goals in total.
When is Frigg vs Bærum?
Frigg vs Bærum (3. Division Girone 1) kicks off on Saturday 27 June 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
