Value bet: Bærum to win @ 2.25 – our chance 50% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBærum to win ✓50% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · fair 1.76
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.54
Ullern vs Bærum preview and prediction
The match
Ullern host Bærum in the 3. Division Girone 1 on Monday 6 April, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT). Ullern are 12th with 29 points from 26 games (in the bottom three), while Bærum sit 5th on 40 points (in the top half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.7 goals: 1.6 for Ullern and 2.0 for Bærum. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 71% and both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ullern 33%, draw 17%, Bærum 50%.
Value angle: Bærum to win at 2.25 – 50% on our numbers against 44% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 71% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Ullern 1–2 Bærum. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ullern33%fair 3.05 · @2.30
Draw17%fair 5.75 · @4.20
Bærum50%fair 2.01 · @2.25
3.67Expected goals
1.62Ullern xG
2.05Bærum xG
57%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–29%
1–18%
2–27%
2–17%
1–36%
0–25%
From our goals model: Ullern 1.6 – 2.0 Bærum expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bærum to win✓
50%
2.01
2.25 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
83%
1.21
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time result
Bærum ahead at half-time✓
38%
2.64
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bærum / FT Bærum✓
30%
3.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.54
–
Form
Ullern
No recent results on record.
Bærum – last 1
W
13 Mar
vs Lokomotiv Oslo
7–2
W
7.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ullern and Bærum.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Ullern vs Bærum?
On our numbers Ullern have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Bærum 50%.
How many goals will there be in Ullern vs Bærum?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ullern vs Bærum?
Our predicted score is Ullern 1–2 Bærum, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Ullern vs Bærum?
Ullern vs Bærum (3. Division Girone 1) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
