Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.30Odds
1
Value bet: Hønefoss to win @ 1.85 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultHønefoss to win ✗58% · @1.85
Double chanceHønefoss or draw ✓81% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.35
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗67% · fair 1.49
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.41
Hønefoss vs Grorud preview and prediction
The match
The 2. Division Group 2 sees Hønefoss take on Grorud on Saturday 12 September, kicking off at 13:00 (WAT). Hønefoss are 5th with 49 points from 26 games (in the top half), while Grorud sit 4th on 49 points (in the top four). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Hønefoss's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat TryggLade 3–2 away. They are scoring freely – 3.8 goals a game.
Grorud's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Rana 4–2 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 23 May 2026, finished Grorud 3–2 Hønefoss.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 2.2 for Hønefoss and 1.2 for Grorud. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 67% and both teams to score at 65%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Hønefoss 58%, draw 22%, Grorud 19%.
Safer route: Hønefoss or draw (81%) at 1.30.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.35.
Value angle: Hønefoss to win at 1.85 – 58% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Hønefoss or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.30, above our fair price of 1.24, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Hønefoss 2–1 Grorud. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hønefoss58%fair 1.71 · @1.85
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @3.50
Grorud19%fair 5.13 · @3.30
3.46Expected goals
2.22Hønefoss xG
1.24Grorud xG
65%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
3–17%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Hønefoss 2.2 – 1.2 Grorud expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Hønefoss or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Hønefoss vs Grorud?
On our numbers Hønefoss have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Grorud 19%.
How many goals will there be in Hønefoss vs Grorud?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hønefoss vs Grorud?
Our predicted score is Hønefoss 2–1 Grorud, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Hønefoss vs Grorud?
Hønefoss vs Grorud (2. Division Group 2) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
