Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Notodden to win @ 1.75 – our chance 61% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultNotodden to win ✗61% · @1.75
Double chanceNotodden or draw ✗85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.26
Notodden vs Pors Grenland preview and prediction
The match
Pors Grenland travel to Idrettsparken Notodden in the 2. Division Group 1 on Saturday 17 October (13:00 WAT) to face Notodden. Notodden are 6th with 38 points from 26 games (in the top half), while Pors Grenland sit 10th on 30 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Notodden's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to Bjarg 2–5 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Pors Grenland's last 5: LWLWD Most recently they lost to Mjondalen 0–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Pors Grenland arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for Notodden and 0.8 for Pors Grenland. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 60%.
Value angle: Notodden to win at 1.75 – 61% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Notodden or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Notodden 1–0 Pors Grenland. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Notodden61%fair 1.64 · @1.75
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.40
Pors Grenland15%fair 6.75 · @3.60
2.57Expected goals
1.80Notodden xG
0.77Pors Grenland xG
60%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Notodden 1.8 – 0.8 Pors Grenland expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Notodden to win✗
61%
1.64
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Notodden or draw✗
85%
1.17
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
–
Half-time result
Notodden ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Notodden / FT Notodden✗
39%
2.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.26
–
Form
Notodden – last 6
LLLWLD
11 Oct
@ Bjarg
2–5
L
3 Oct
vs Eik-Tønsberg
1–3
L
26 Sep
@ jerv
0–1
L
20 Sep
vs Arendal
4–1
W
16 Sep
vs ODD Ballklubb
2–3
L
13 Sep
@ Træff
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Pors Grenland – last 6
LWLWDL
10 Oct
@ Mjondalen
0–1
L
3 Oct
vs Vidar
4–1
W
26 Sep
@ Sotra
2–3
L
20 Sep
vs Lysekloster
2–0
W
16 Sep
vs Stabaek
1–1
D
12 Sep
@ Eik-Tønsberg
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Notodden and Pors Grenland.
What is the prediction for Notodden vs Pors Grenland?
Our pick is Notodden or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Notodden vs Pors Grenland?
On our numbers Notodden have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Pors Grenland 15%.
How many goals will there be in Notodden vs Pors Grenland?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Notodden vs Pors Grenland?
Our predicted score is Notodden 1–0 Pors Grenland, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Notodden vs Pors Grenland?
Notodden vs Pors Grenland (2. Division Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Idrettsparken Notodden.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
