Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: jerv to win @ 1.75 – our chance 61% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Resultjerv to win ✓61% · @1.75
Double chancejerv or draw ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.11
jerv vs Sotra preview and prediction
The match
jerv host Sotra in the 2. Division Group 1 on Sunday 18 October, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT). jerv are 1st with 59 points from 26 games (top of the table), while Sotra sit 5th on 48 points (in the top half).
Form guide
jerv's last 5: DDWWL Most recently they drew with Arendal 2–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Sotra's last 5: WLWLD Most recently they beat Kvik Halden 3–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 28 June 2026, finished Sotra 1–3 jerv.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.1 for jerv and 1.1 for Sotra. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 62% and both teams to score at 60%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: jerv 61%, draw 20%, Sotra 19%.
Safer route: jerv or draw (81%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.53.
Value angle: jerv to win at 1.75 – 61% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was jerv or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: jerv 2–1 Sotra. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
jerv61%fair 1.65 · @1.75
Draw20%fair 4.89 · @3.40
Sotra19%fair 5.32 · @3.80
3.20Expected goals
2.11jerv xG
1.09Sotra xG
60%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–19%
2–09%
1–09%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: jerv 2.1 – 1.1 Sotra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is jerv or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win jerv vs Sotra?
On our numbers jerv have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Sotra 19%.
How many goals will there be in jerv vs Sotra?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for jerv vs Sotra?
Our predicted score is jerv 2–1 Sotra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is jerv vs Sotra?
jerv vs Sotra (2. Division Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
