jerv host Arendal in the 2. Division Group 1 on Saturday 10 October, with kick-off at 18:00 (WAT). jerv are 1st with 59 points from 26 games (top of the table), while Arendal sit 9th on 31 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 28 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
jerv's last 5: DWWLW Most recently they drew with Lysekloster 3–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Arendal's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Sandviken 0–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.3 conceded.
jerv arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.3 for jerv and 0.8 for Arendal. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: jerv 69%, draw 20%, Arendal 11%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.65.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was jerv to win – a 69% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: jerv 2–0 Arendal. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
jerv69%fair 1.45 · @1.30
Draw20%fair 4.90 · @4.60
Arendal11%fair 9.32 · @7.50
3.09Expected goals
2.27jerv xG
0.82Arendal xG
59%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–010%
2–110%
3–09%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: jerv 2.3 – 0.8 Arendal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
jerv to win✗
69%
1.45
1.30
Double chance
jerv or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
jerv ahead at half-time✗
51%
1.96
–
Half-time / full-time
HT jerv / FT jerv✗
47%
2.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
12%
8.53
–
Form
jerv – last 6
DWWLWW
4 Oct
@ Lysekloster
3–3
D
26 Sep
vs Notodden
1–0
W
19 Sep
@ Kvik Halden
2–0
W
16 Sep
vs Egersund
1–2
L
13 Sep
vs Brattvåg
3–1
W
5 Sep
@ Mjondalen
3–0
W
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Arendal – last 6
LLLLWL
4 Oct
@ Sandviken
0–1
L
27 Sep
vs Brattvåg
2–3
L
20 Sep
@ Notodden
1–4
L
16 Sep
vs Sandnes ULF
1–2
L
13 Sep
vs Kvik Halden
2–0
W
6 Sep
@ Bjarg
0–4
L
1.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between jerv and Arendal.
Our pick is jerv to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win jerv vs Arendal?
On our numbers jerv have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Arendal 11%.
How many goals will there be in jerv vs Arendal?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for jerv vs Arendal?
Our predicted score is jerv 2–0 Arendal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is jerv vs Arendal?
jerv vs Arendal (2. Division Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
