Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.36Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultBjarg to win ✓67% · @1.36
Double chanceBjarg or draw ✓84% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.49
Bjarg vs Notodden preview and prediction
The match
The 2. Division Group 1 sees Bjarg take on Notodden on Sunday 11 October, kicking off at 12:00 (WAT) at Stavollen kunstgress. Bjarg are 2nd with 54 points from 26 games (in the top four), while Notodden sit 6th on 38 points (in the top half). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Bjarg's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Kvik Halden 3–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 3.3 goals a game.
Notodden's last 5: LLWLD Most recently they lost to Eik-Tønsberg 1–3 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Bjarg arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.0 for Bjarg and 0.8 for Notodden. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 59%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bjarg 67%, draw 18%, Notodden 16%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.60.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Bjarg to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Bjarg 2–0 Notodden. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bjarg67%fair 1.50 · @1.36
Draw18%fair 5.67 · @4.80
Notodden16%fair 6.33 · @5.80
2.86Expected goals
2.03Bjarg xG
0.83Notodden xG
59%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–012%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Bjarg 2.0 – 0.8 Notodden expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bjarg to win✓
67%
1.50
1.36
Double chance
Bjarg or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
–
Half-time result
Bjarg ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bjarg / FT Bjarg✓
42%
2.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
12%
8.49
–
Form
Bjarg – last 6
WWWLWW
3 Oct
@ Kvik Halden
3–2
W
27 Sep
@ Eik-Tønsberg
2–0
W
20 Sep
vs Træff
6–1
W
16 Sep
vs Bryne
1–4
L
12 Sep
@ Vidar
4–1
W
6 Sep
vs Arendal
4–0
W
3.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Notodden – last 6
LLWLDW
3 Oct
vs Eik-Tønsberg
1–3
L
26 Sep
@ jerv
0–1
L
20 Sep
vs Arendal
4–1
W
16 Sep
vs ODD Ballklubb
2–3
L
13 Sep
@ Træff
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Lysekloster
3–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bjarg and Notodden.
Our pick is Bjarg to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Bjarg vs Notodden?
On our numbers Bjarg have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Notodden 16%.
How many goals will there be in Bjarg vs Notodden?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bjarg vs Notodden?
Our predicted score is Bjarg 2–0 Notodden, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Bjarg vs Notodden?
Bjarg vs Notodden (2. Division Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Stavollen kunstgress.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
