Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
Resultjerv to win ✓63% · @1.50
Double chancejerv or draw ✓85% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 9.16
jerv vs Notodden preview and prediction
The match
The 2. Division Group 1 sees jerv take on Notodden on Saturday 26 September, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT). jerv are 1st with 59 points from 26 games (top of the table), while Notodden sit 6th on 38 points (in the top half). A gap of 21 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
jerv's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Kvik Halden 2–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Notodden's last 5: WLDWD Most recently they beat Arendal 4–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
jerv arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 31 May 2026, finished Notodden 0–0 jerv.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.0 for jerv and 0.9 for Notodden. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score in 57% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: jerv 63%, draw 22%, Notodden 15%.
Safer route: jerv or draw (85%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 61% chance at odds of 1.67. Predicted score: jerv 2–0 Notodden. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
jerv63%fair 1.59 · @1.50
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @4.20
Notodden15%fair 6.70 · @4.50
2.95Expected goals
2.04jerv xG
0.91Notodden xG
57%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: jerv 2.0 – 0.9 Notodden expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win jerv vs Notodden?
On our numbers jerv have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Notodden 15%.
How many goals will there be in jerv vs Notodden?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for jerv vs Notodden?
Our predicted score is jerv 2–0 Notodden, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is jerv vs Notodden?
jerv vs Notodden (2. Division Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
