Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
2
Value bet: Arendal to win @ 3.10 – our chance 35% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultNotodden to win ✓41% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 9.69
Notodden vs Arendal preview and prediction
The match
Notodden host Arendal in the 2. Division Group 1 on Sunday 20 September, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Idrettsparken Notodden. Notodden are 6th with 38 points from 26 games (in the top half), while Arendal sit 9th on 31 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Notodden's last 5: LDWDW Most recently they lost to ODD Ballklubb 2–3 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Arendal's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to Sandnes ULF 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Arendal arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.4 for Notodden and 1.2 for Arendal. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 61%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Notodden 41%, draw 24%, Arendal 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.57.
Value angle: Arendal to win at 3.10 – 35% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 61% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Notodden 1–1 Arendal. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Notodden41%fair 2.42 · @2.05
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.10
Arendal35%fair 2.89 · @3.10
2.58Expected goals
1.36Notodden xG
1.22Arendal xG
61%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Notodden 1.4 – 1.2 Arendal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Notodden to win✓
41%
2.42
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.65
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Notodden / FT Notodden✓
23%
4.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
9.69
–
Form
Notodden – last 6
LDWDWL
16 Sep
vs ODD Ballklubb
2–3
L
13 Sep
@ Træff
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Lysekloster
3–0
W
30 Aug
@ Kvik Halden
0–0
D
22 Aug
@ Åssiden IF
4–0
W
15 Aug
vs Brattvåg
0–3
L
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Arendal – last 6
LWLWWW
16 Sep
vs Sandnes ULF
1–2
L
13 Sep
vs Kvik Halden
2–0
W
6 Sep
@ Bjarg
0–4
L
30 Aug
vs Lysekloster
2–1
W
22 Aug
@ Froland
5–1
W
15 Aug
@ Vidar
3–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Notodden and Arendal.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Notodden vs Arendal?
On our numbers Notodden have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Arendal 35%.
How many goals will there be in Notodden vs Arendal?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Notodden vs Arendal?
Our predicted score is Notodden 1–1 Arendal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Notodden vs Arendal?
Notodden vs Arendal (2. Division Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Idrettsparken Notodden.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
