Value bet: Notodden to win @ 2.75 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultNotodden to win ✓39% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.93
Notodden vs Sotra preview and prediction
The match
Notodden host Sotra in the 2. Division Group 1 on Saturday 25 July, with kick-off at 14:30 (WAT) at Idrettsparken Notodden. Notodden are 6th with 38 points from 26 games (in the top half), while Sotra sit 5th on 48 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Notodden's last 5: WLWDL Most recently they beat Sandviken 4–0 away. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sotra's last 5: LLLDL Most recently they lost to jerv 1–3 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Notodden arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.4 for Notodden and 1.4 for Sotra. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 64%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Notodden 39%, draw 23%, Sotra 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.55.
Value angle: Notodden to win at 2.75 – 39% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Notodden 1–1 Sotra. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Notodden39%fair 2.57 · @2.75
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.45
Sotra39%fair 2.59 · @2.25
2.83Expected goals
1.42Notodden xG
1.41Sotra xG
64%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
2–18%
1–08%
1–28%
0–18%
2–06%
From our goals model: Notodden 1.4 – 1.4 Sotra expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Notodden to win✓
39%
2.57
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.57
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
1.40
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Notodden / FT Notodden✓
22%
4.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.93
–
Form
Notodden – last 6
WLWDLW
27 Jun
@ Sandviken
4–0
W
20 Jun
vs Mjondalen
1–2
L
14 Jun
@ Lysekloster
2–0
W
31 May
vs jerv
0–0
D
25 May
@ Brattvåg
0–2
L
3 May
@ Vidar
5–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sotra – last 6
LLLDLW
28 Jun
vs jerv
1–3
L
20 Jun
@ Kvik Halden
1–2
L
14 Jun
vs Brattvåg
0–1
L
31 May
@ Arendal
1–1
D
25 May
vs Bjarg
1–2
L
14 May
@ Vidar
3–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Notodden and Sotra.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Notodden vs Sotra?
On our numbers Notodden have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sotra 39%.
How many goals will there be in Notodden vs Sotra?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Notodden vs Sotra?
Our predicted score is Notodden 1–1 Sotra, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Notodden vs Sotra?
Notodden vs Sotra (2. Division Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 25 July 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Idrettsparken Notodden.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
