Value bet: jerv to win @ 2.75 – our chance 41% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Resultjerv to win ✓41% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.58
Sotra vs jerv preview and prediction
The match
The 2. Division Group 1 sees Sotra take on jerv on Sunday 28 June, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Straume Fotballhall. Sotra are 5th with 48 points from 26 games (in the top half), while jerv sit 1st on 59 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Sotra's last 5: LLDLW Most recently they lost to Kvik Halden 1–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
jerv's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Brattvåg 2–1 away. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded.
jerv arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.4 for Sotra and 1.5 for jerv. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 63%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sotra 37%, draw 23%, jerv 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.55.
Value angle: jerv to win at 2.75 – 41% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Sotra 1–1 jerv. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sotra37%fair 2.72 · @2.25
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.45
jerv41%fair 2.46 · @2.75
2.89Expected goals
1.40Sotra xG
1.49jerv xG
63%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–08%
0–26%
From our goals model: Sotra 1.4 – 1.5 jerv expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
jerv to win✓
41%
2.46
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.59
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.82
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
1.40
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT jerv / FT jerv✗
23%
4.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.58
–
Form
Sotra – last 6
LLDLWW
20 Jun
@ Kvik Halden
1–2
L
14 Jun
vs Brattvåg
0–1
L
31 May
@ Arendal
1–1
D
25 May
vs Bjarg
1–2
L
14 May
@ Vidar
3–1
W
10 May
vs Eik-Tønsberg
6–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
jerv – last 6
WWDWWD
21 Jun
@ Brattvåg
2–1
W
14 Jun
vs Sandviken
2–1
W
31 May
@ Notodden
0–0
D
23 May
vs Kvik Halden
2–1
W
10 May
vs Bjarg
3–1
W
26 Apr
vs Træff
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sotra and jerv.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Sotra vs jerv?
On our numbers Sotra have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and jerv 41%.
How many goals will there be in Sotra vs jerv?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sotra vs jerv?
Our predicted score is Sotra 1–1 jerv, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Sotra vs jerv?
Sotra vs jerv (2. Division Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 28 June 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Straume Fotballhall.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
