Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
2
Value bet: Mjondalen to win @ 2.45 – our chance 45% vs 41% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultMjondalen to win ✓45% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 11.10
Notodden vs Mjondalen preview and prediction
The match
The 2. Division Group 1 sees Notodden take on Mjondalen on Saturday 20 June, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT) at Idrettsparken Notodden. Notodden are 6th with 38 points from 26 games (in the top half), while Mjondalen sit 3rd on 53 points (in the top four). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Notodden's last 5: WDLWL Most recently they beat Lysekloster 2–0 away. They average 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Mjondalen's last 5: DLWWD Most recently they drew with Kvik Halden 3–3 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.3 for Notodden and 1.6 for Mjondalen. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 56%, both teams to score at 65%.
Value angle: Mjondalen to win at 2.45 – 45% on our numbers against 41% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: Notodden 1–1 Mjondalen. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Notodden35%fair 2.90 · @2.45
Draw20%fair 4.90 · @3.50
Mjondalen45%fair 2.22 · @2.45
2.90Expected goals
1.33Notodden xG
1.57Mjondalen xG
65%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
0–19%
2–18%
1–07%
0–27%
From our goals model: Notodden 1.3 – 1.6 Mjondalen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mjondalen to win✓
45%
2.22
2.45 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.55
1.48
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.77
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.48
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.47
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mjondalen / FT Mjondalen✗
26%
3.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
9%
11.10
–
Form
Notodden – last 6
WDLWLW
14 Jun
@ Lysekloster
2–0
W
31 May
vs jerv
0–0
D
25 May
@ Brattvåg
0–2
L
3 May
@ Vidar
5–0
W
12 Apr
vs Træff
1–2
L
6 Apr
@ Eik-Tønsberg
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Mjondalen – last 6
DLWWDW
13 Jun
vs Kvik Halden
3–3
D
31 May
@ Pors Grenland
0–1
L
23 May
vs Sandviken
4–0
W
10 May
vs Vidar
2–0
W
3 May
@ Træff
2–2
D
6 Apr
vs Arendal
4–1
W
2.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Notodden and Mjondalen.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Notodden vs Mjondalen?
On our numbers Notodden have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Mjondalen 45%.
How many goals will there be in Notodden vs Mjondalen?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Notodden vs Mjondalen?
Our predicted score is Notodden 1–1 Mjondalen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Notodden vs Mjondalen?
Notodden vs Mjondalen (2. Division Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 20 June 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Idrettsparken Notodden.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
