Sotra host Bjarg in the 2. Division Group 1 on Monday 25 May, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT) at Straume Fotballhall. Sotra are 5th with 48 points from 26 games (in the top half), while Bjarg sit 2nd on 54 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Sotra's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Vidar 3–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Bjarg's last 4: LLDW Most recently they lost to Brattvåg 2–6 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Sotra arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 2.5 for Sotra and 1.0 for Bjarg. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sotra 69%, draw 20%, Bjarg 12%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Sotra to win – a 69% chance at odds of 1.55, above our fair price of 1.46, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Sotra 2–0 Bjarg. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sotra69%fair 1.46 · @1.55
Draw20%fair 5.06 · @4.00
Bjarg12%fair 8.64 · @4.75
3.43Expected goals
2.46Sotra xG
0.97Bjarg xG
63%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–110%
3–08%
1–08%
3–18%
1–18%
From our goals model: Sotra 2.5 – 1.0 Bjarg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sotra to win✗
69%
1.46
1.55 ▲
Double chance
Sotra or draw✗
88%
1.13
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.59
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.65
Half-time result
Sotra ahead at half-time✗
52%
1.93
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sotra / FT Sotra✗
47%
2.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
10%
10.19
–
Form
Sotra – last 6
WWWDWW
14 May
@ Vidar
3–1
W
10 May
vs Eik-Tønsberg
6–0
W
18 Apr
@ Træff
2–0
W
5 Apr
vs Lysekloster
2–2
D
7 Mar
vs Sandviken
1–0
W
28 Feb
vs Fana
1–0
W
2.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Bjarg – last 4
LLDW
14 May
vs Brattvåg
2–6
L
10 May
@ jerv
1–3
L
2 May
vs Lysekloster
2–2
D
6 Apr
vs Sandviken
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sotra and Bjarg.
Our pick is Sotra to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Sotra vs Bjarg?
On our numbers Sotra have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Bjarg 12%.
How many goals will there be in Sotra vs Bjarg?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sotra vs Bjarg?
Our predicted score is Sotra 2–0 Bjarg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Sotra vs Bjarg?
Sotra vs Bjarg (2. Division Group 1) kicks off on Monday 25 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Straume Fotballhall.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
