Value bet: Mjondalen to win @ 2.70 – our chance 41% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultMjondalen to win41% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win77% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score69% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–26% · fair 15.44
jerv vs Mjondalen preview and prediction
The match
Mjondalen travel to face jerv in the 2. Division Group 1 on Sunday 12 April (14:00 WAT). jerv are 1st with 59 points from 26 games (top of the table), while Mjondalen sit 3rd on 53 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Mjondalen's last 4: WLDW Most recently they beat Arendal 4–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.5 goals: 2.2 for jerv and 2.3 for Mjondalen. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 83% and both teams to score at 69%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: jerv 37%, draw 23%, Mjondalen 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (69%) at 1.44.
Value angle: Mjondalen to win at 2.70 – 41% on our numbers against 37% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 69% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: jerv 2–2 Mjondalen. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
jerv37%fair 2.73 · @2.20
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.25
Mjondalen41%fair 2.47 · @2.70
4.50Expected goals
2.20jerv xG
2.30Mjondalen xG
69%Both score
83%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–27%
1–26%
2–16%
1–16%
2–35%
3–25%
From our goals model: jerv 2.2 – 2.3 Mjondalen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mjondalen to win
41%
2.47
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
77%
1.30
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
69%
1.45
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
94%
1.07
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
Mjondalen ahead at half-time
36%
2.80
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mjondalen / FT Mjondalen
26%
3.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
6%
15.44
–
Form
jerv – last 1
W
6 Apr
@ Vidar
3–1
W
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Mjondalen – last 4
WLDW
6 Apr
vs Arendal
4–1
W
29 Mar
@ Raufoss
2–3
L
13 Mar
@ Stromsgodset
1–1
D
20 Feb
vs Moss
3–2
W
2.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between jerv and Mjondalen.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win jerv vs Mjondalen?
On our numbers jerv have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Mjondalen 41%.
How many goals will there be in jerv vs Mjondalen?
We expect about 4.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 83% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for jerv vs Mjondalen?
Our predicted score is jerv 2–2 Mjondalen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.5 goals in total.
When is jerv vs Mjondalen?
jerv vs Mjondalen (2. Division Group 1) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
