Value bet: Mjondalen to win @ 1.83 – our chance 61% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultMjondalen to win ✓61% · @1.83
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.33
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.79
Mjondalen vs Arendal preview and prediction
The match
Arendal travel to Consto Arena in the 2. Division Group 1 on Monday 6 April (15:00 WAT) to face Mjondalen. Mjondalen are 3rd with 53 points from 26 games (in the top four), while Arendal sit 9th on 31 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 22 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Mjondalen's last 3: LDW Most recently they lost to Raufoss 2–3 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.7 goals: 2.3 for Mjondalen and 1.3 for Arendal. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 71% and both teams to score at 67%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Mjondalen to win at 1.83 – 61% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 71% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Mjondalen 2–1 Arendal. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mjondalen61%fair 1.63 · @1.83
Draw16%fair 6.29 · @3.75
Arendal23%fair 4.40 · @3.30
3.67Expected goals
2.33Mjondalen xG
1.34Arendal xG
67%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–07%
2–26%
1–06%
From our goals model: Mjondalen 2.3 – 1.3 Arendal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mjondalen to win✓
61%
1.63
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
84%
1.19
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
67%
1.50
1.33
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.14
1.08
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
1.80
Half-time result
Mjondalen ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mjondalen / FT Mjondalen✓
39%
2.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.79
–
Form
Mjondalen – last 3
LDW
29 Mar
@ Raufoss
2–3
L
13 Mar
@ Stromsgodset
1–1
D
20 Feb
vs Moss
3–2
W
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Arendal – last 1
L
17 Feb
@ Moss
0–3
L
0.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mjondalen and Arendal.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Mjondalen vs Arendal?
On our numbers Mjondalen have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Arendal 23%.
How many goals will there be in Mjondalen vs Arendal?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mjondalen vs Arendal?
Our predicted score is Mjondalen 2–1 Arendal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Mjondalen vs Arendal?
Mjondalen vs Arendal (2. Division Group 1) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Consto Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
