Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.65Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultKongsvinger to win ✓65% · @1.65
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗72% · @1.25
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.16
Moss vs Kongsvinger preview and prediction
The match
Kongsvinger travel to face Moss in the 1. Division on Monday 5 October (18:00 WAT). Moss are 13th with 32 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Kongsvinger sit 3rd on 59 points (in the top four). A gap of 27 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Moss's last 5: DWLWL Most recently they drew with Grorud 1–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Kongsvinger's last 5: WWDWD Most recently they beat hodd 5–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 3.8 per game.
Kongsvinger arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.2 goals: 1.5 for Moss and 2.7 for Kongsvinger. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 79% and both teams to score at 72%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Moss 19%, draw 16%, Kongsvinger 65%.
Both teams to score: yes (72%) at 1.25.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Kongsvinger to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.65, above our fair price of 1.53, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Moss 1–2 Kongsvinger. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Moss19%fair 5.25 · @3.50
Draw16%fair 6.39 · @4.50
Kongsvinger65%fair 1.53 · @1.65
4.20Expected goals
1.45Moss xG
2.75Kongsvinger xG
72%Both score
79%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–28%
1–38%
1–16%
2–26%
0–26%
2–35%
From our goals model: Moss 1.5 – 2.7 Kongsvinger expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kongsvinger to win✓
65%
1.53
1.65 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
84%
1.19
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
72%
1.39
1.25
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
60%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Kongsvinger ahead at half-time✓
50%
2.01
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kongsvinger / FT Kongsvinger✓
43%
2.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.16
–
Form
Moss – last 6
DWLWLD
23 Sep
@ Grorud
1–1
D
20 Sep
@ Sandnes ULF
2–1
W
13 Sep
vs Haugesund
1–4
L
5 Sep
@ Stabaek
3–2
W
30 Aug
vs Strommen
1–2
L
26 Aug
vs Sogndal
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Kongsvinger – last 6
WWDWDW
20 Sep
vs hodd
5–1
W
16 Sep
@ Eidsvold
3–2
W
13 Sep
@ Egersund
1–1
D
5 Sep
vs Raufoss
9–1
W
30 Aug
vs Lyn
4–4
D
26 Aug
@ ODD Ballklubb
1–0
W
3.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Moss and Kongsvinger.
Our pick is Kongsvinger to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Moss vs Kongsvinger?
On our numbers Moss have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Kongsvinger 65%.
How many goals will there be in Moss vs Kongsvinger?
We expect about 4.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 79% likely and both teams score 72% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Moss vs Kongsvinger?
Our predicted score is Moss 1–2 Kongsvinger, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.2 goals in total.
When is Moss vs Kongsvinger?
Moss vs Kongsvinger (1. Division) kicks off on Monday 5 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
