Value bet: Haugesund to win @ 1.85 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultHaugesund to win ✓58% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗73% · @1.25
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.71
Haugesund vs Stabaek preview and prediction
The match
Haugesund host Stabaek in the 1. Division on Saturday 3 October, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Haugesund Stadion. Haugesund are 2nd with 65 points from 30 games (in the top four), while Stabaek sit 4th on 58 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Haugesund's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Strommen 4–2 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 3.2 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Stabaek's last 5: WDLLL Most recently they beat Sogndal 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Haugesund arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.3 goals: 2.6 for Haugesund and 1.7 for Stabaek. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 80% and both teams to score at 73%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Haugesund to win at 1.85 – 58% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 73% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Haugesund 2–1 Stabaek. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Haugesund58%fair 1.72 · @1.85
Draw17%fair 5.73 · @3.90
Stabaek24%fair 4.11 · @3.20
4.28Expected goals
2.60Haugesund xG
1.68Stabaek xG
73%Both score
80%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–18%
3–17%
2–27%
1–16%
3–26%
1–25%
From our goals model: Haugesund 2.6 – 1.7 Stabaek expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Haugesund to win✓
58%
1.72
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
83%
1.21
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
73%
1.36
1.25
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Haugesund ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Haugesund / FT Haugesund✗
38%
2.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.71
–
Form
Haugesund – last 6
WWWWWW
20 Sep
vs Strommen
4–2
W
13 Sep
@ Moss
4–1
W
8 Sep
@ Djerv
4–0
W
5 Sep
vs Sogndal
2–0
W
30 Aug
@ Bryne
2–0
W
26 Aug
vs Egersund
3–0
W
3.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Stabaek – last 6
WDLLLW
20 Sep
vs Sogndal
2–1
W
16 Sep
@ Pors Grenland
1–1
D
12 Sep
@ Bryne
0–2
L
5 Sep
vs Moss
2–3
L
30 Aug
@ hodd
1–2
L
26 Aug
vs Ranheim
4–2
W
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Haugesund and Stabaek.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Haugesund vs Stabaek?
On our numbers Haugesund have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Stabaek 24%.
How many goals will there be in Haugesund vs Stabaek?
We expect about 4.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 80% likely and both teams score 73% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Haugesund vs Stabaek?
Our predicted score is Haugesund 2–1 Stabaek, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.3 goals in total.
When is Haugesund vs Stabaek?
Haugesund vs Stabaek (1. Division) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Haugesund Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
