Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.36Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultStabaek to win ✓66% · @1.33
Double chanceStabaek or draw ✓87% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓68% · @1.36
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.25
Stabaek vs Sogndal preview and prediction
The match
Sogndal travel to Nadderud Stadion in the 1. Division on Sunday 20 September (16:00 WAT) to face Stabaek. Stabaek are 4th with 58 points from 30 games (in the top four), while Sogndal sit 14th on 31 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 27 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Stabaek's last 5: DLLLW Most recently they drew with Pors Grenland 1–1 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Sogndal's last 5: DDLLD Most recently they drew with Sotra 1–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 20 May 2026, finished Sogndal 2–2 Stabaek. Across their last 2 meetings Stabaek have won 1, Sogndal 0, with 1 draw and 2.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.9 goals: 2.7 for Stabaek and 1.2 for Sogndal. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score in 68% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Stabaek 66%, draw 20%, Sogndal 13%.
Both teams to score: yes (68%) at 1.36.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 68% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Stabaek 2–1 Sogndal. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Stabaek66%fair 1.50 · @1.33
Draw20%fair 4.89 · @5.00
Sogndal13%fair 7.63 · @6.00
3.89Expected goals
2.68Stabaek xG
1.21Sogndal xG
68%Both score
75%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
3–18%
2–07%
1–17%
3–07%
1–05%
From our goals model: Stabaek 2.7 – 1.2 Sogndal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Stabaek vs Sogndal?
On our numbers Stabaek have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Sogndal 13%.
How many goals will there be in Stabaek vs Sogndal?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Stabaek vs Sogndal?
Our predicted score is Stabaek 2–1 Sogndal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Stabaek vs Sogndal?
Stabaek vs Sogndal (1. Division) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Nadderud Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
