Value bet: Sogndal to win @ 1.95 – our chance 59% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSogndal to win ✗59% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✗84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓70% · @1.36
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.53
Sogndal vs Strommen preview and prediction
The match
The 1. Division sees Sogndal take on Strommen on Sunday 13 September, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Fosshaugane Campus. Sogndal are 14th with 31 points from 30 games (in the bottom three), while Strommen sit 9th on 39 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Sogndal's last 5: LLDWW Most recently they lost to Haugesund 0–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Strommen's last 5: LWWWD Most recently they lost to Tromsdalen Uil 1–9 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Strommen arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 31 May 2026, finished Strommen 2–3 Sogndal.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.9 goals: 2.4 for Sogndal and 1.5 for Strommen. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score in 70% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sogndal 59%, draw 16%, Strommen 25%.
Both teams to score: yes (70%) at 1.36.
Value angle: Sogndal to win at 1.95 – 59% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 70% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Sogndal 2–1 Strommen. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sogndal59%fair 1.70 · @1.95
Draw16%fair 6.17 · @3.60
Strommen25%fair 4.01 · @3.00
3.93Expected goals
2.41Sogndal xG
1.52Strommen xG
70%Both score
75%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
1–17%
3–17%
2–27%
2–06%
1–25%
From our goals model: Sogndal 2.4 – 1.5 Strommen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Sogndal vs Strommen?
On our numbers Sogndal have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Strommen 25%.
How many goals will there be in Sogndal vs Strommen?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sogndal vs Strommen?
Our predicted score is Sogndal 2–1 Strommen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Sogndal vs Strommen?
Sogndal vs Strommen (1. Division) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Fosshaugane Campus.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
