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1. Division · Norway · Fosshaugane Campus

Sogndal

DWWLL
2–3
FT

Sogndal vs Stromsgodset prediction & analysis

76%
Footrivo pick

Over 2.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultStromsgodset to win ✓65% · @1.57
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓69% · @1.28
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.57

Sogndal vs Stromsgodset preview and prediction

The match

The 1. Division sees Sogndal take on Stromsgodset on Sunday 30 August, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Fosshaugane Campus. Sogndal are 14th with 31 points from 30 games (in the bottom three), while Stromsgodset sit 1st on 66 points (top of the table). A gap of 35 points shows the difference in quality this season.

Form guide

Sogndal's last 5: DWWLL Most recently they drew with Moss 2–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.8 goals a game.

Stromsgodset's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat hodd 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 1.4 for Sogndal and 2.6 for Stromsgodset. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score in 69% of our simulations.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Sogndal 1–2 Stromsgodset. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Sogndal19%fair 5.16 · @4.20
Draw16%fair 6.29 · @4.40
Stromsgodset65%fair 1.54 · @1.57
4.02Expected goals
1.39Sogndal xG
2.63Stromsgodset xG
69%Both score
76%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–29%
1–38%
1–17%
0–26%
2–26%
0–35%

From our goals model: Sogndal 1.4 – 2.6 Stromsgodset expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultStromsgodset to win ✓65%1.541.57
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84%1.191.13
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓69%1.441.28
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76%1.321.25
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓57%1.751.62
Half-time resultStromsgodset ahead at half-time ✓49%2.04–
Half-time / full-timeHT Stromsgodset / FT Stromsgodset ✓43%2.35–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.57–

Form

Sogndal – last 6

DWWLLW
26 Aug@ Moss2–2D
21 Aug@ Fjøra8–0W
16 Augvs Sandnes ULF2–0W
9 Augvs Bryne0–2L
2 Aug@ Lyn2–3L
26 Julvs Ranheim3–2W
2.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Stromsgodset – last 6

WWWLWD
26 Augvs hodd3–1W
23 Aug@ Modum FK6–0W
15 Aug@ Ranheim3–1W
9 Augvs Egersund0–2L
1 Aug@ Bryne2–0W
25 Julvs Lyn1–1D
2.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Sogndal and Stromsgodset.

1. Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Stromsgodset302064+4666
2Haugesund302127+3565
3Kongsvinger301857+3459
4Stabaek301848+3258
5ODD Ballklubb301479+1249
6Bryne3014412+446
7Ranheim3012513+241
8Egersund3011811-741
9Strommen3011613-1039
10hodd3011613-1039
11Lyn3010416-1534
12Sandnes ULF309615-1433
13Moss309516-1932
14Sogndal308715-1531
15Asane307518-2626
16Raufoss306222-4920

More 1. Division predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sogndal vs Stromsgodset?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Sogndal vs Stromsgodset?

On our numbers Sogndal have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Stromsgodset 65%.

How many goals will there be in Sogndal vs Stromsgodset?

We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sogndal vs Stromsgodset?

Our predicted score is Sogndal 1–2 Stromsgodset, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.

When is Sogndal vs Stromsgodset?

Sogndal vs Stromsgodset (1. Division) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Fosshaugane Campus.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.