The 1. Division sees Moss take on Sogndal on Wednesday 26 August, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT). Moss are 13th with 32 points from 30 games (in the bottom half), while Sogndal sit 14th on 31 points (in the bottom three). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Moss's last 5: WLDLL Most recently they beat Lørenskog 3–0 away. They average 1.5 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Sogndal's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat Fjøra 8–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game.
Sogndal arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 14 June 2026, finished Sogndal 2–4 Moss.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.9 goals: 1.9 for Moss and 2.0 for Sogndal. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score in 70% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Moss 39%, draw 21%, Sogndal 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (70%) at 1.25.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Moss 1–2 Sogndal. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Moss39%fair 2.57 · @2.38
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @3.85
Sogndal40%fair 2.49 · @2.38
3.90Expected goals
1.93Moss xG
1.97Sogndal xG
70%Both score
74%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–18%
1–28%
2–17%
2–27%
1–35%
3–15%
From our goals model: Moss 1.9 – 2.0 Sogndal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Moss vs Sogndal?
On our numbers Moss have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sogndal 40%.
How many goals will there be in Moss vs Sogndal?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Moss vs Sogndal?
Our predicted score is Moss 1–2 Sogndal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Moss vs Sogndal?
Moss vs Sogndal (1. Division) kicks off on Wednesday 26 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
