Value bet: Ranheim to win @ 2.88 – our chance 37% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSogndal to win ✓42% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓73% · @1.25
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 13.91
Sogndal vs Ranheim preview and prediction
The match
Sogndal host Ranheim in the 1. Division on Sunday 26 July, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at Fosshaugane Campus. Sogndal are 14th with 31 points from 30 games (in the bottom three), while Ranheim sit 7th on 41 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Sogndal's last 5: LWLLW Most recently they lost to Kongsvinger 1–5 away. They average 1.8 scored and 3.0 conceded.
Ranheim's last 5: LLWLD Most recently they lost to Stabaek 2–5 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.2 goals: 2.2 for Sogndal and 2.0 for Ranheim. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score in 73% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sogndal 42%, draw 21%, Ranheim 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (73%) at 1.25.
Value angle: Ranheim to win at 2.88 – 37% on our numbers against 35% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Sogndal 2–2 Ranheim. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sogndal42%fair 2.38 · @2.05
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.85
Ranheim37%fair 2.70 · @2.88
4.18Expected goals
2.16Sogndal xG
2.03Ranheim xG
73%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–27%
2–17%
1–27%
1–17%
3–25%
3–15%
From our goals model: Sogndal 2.2 – 2.0 Ranheim expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sogndal to win✓
42%
2.38
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
73%
1.37
1.25
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
1.70
Half-time result
Sogndal ahead at half-time✓
35%
2.83
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sogndal / FT Sogndal✓
26%
3.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
7%
13.91
–
Form
Sogndal – last 6
LWLLWL
3 Jul
@ Kongsvinger
1–5
L
27 Jun
vs Egersund
4–2
W
21 Jun
@ Raufoss
1–3
L
14 Jun
vs Moss
2–4
L
31 May
@ Strommen
3–2
W
25 May
@ Sandnes ULF
0–2
L
1.8Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Ranheim – last 6
LLWLDW
3 Jul
vs Stabaek
2–5
L
27 Jun
@ Asane
0–3
L
19 Jun
vs Lyn
3–2
W
14 Jun
@ Haugesund
1–4
L
7 Jun
vs Strommen
2–2
D
31 May
vs Sandnes ULF
5–1
W
2.2Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sogndal and Ranheim.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Sogndal vs Ranheim?
On our numbers Sogndal have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Ranheim 37%.
How many goals will there be in Sogndal vs Ranheim?
We expect about 4.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 73% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sogndal vs Ranheim?
Our predicted score is Sogndal 2–2 Ranheim, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.2 goals in total.
When is Sogndal vs Ranheim?
Sogndal vs Ranheim (1. Division) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Fosshaugane Campus.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
