Sogndal travel to Gjemselund Stadion in the 1. Division on Friday 3 July (17:00 WAT) to face Kongsvinger. Kongsvinger are 3rd with 59 points from 30 games (in the top four), while Sogndal sit 14th on 31 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 28 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Kongsvinger's last 5: LDWWL Most recently they lost to Haugesund 2–4 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
Sogndal's last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat Egersund 4–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Kongsvinger arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.9 goals: 2.6 for Kongsvinger and 1.3 for Sogndal. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score in 69% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Kongsvinger 2–1 Sogndal. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kongsvinger66%fair 1.52 · @1.60
Draw14%fair 7.38 · @4.33
Sogndal21%fair 4.80 · @4.10
3.90Expected goals
2.55Kongsvinger xG
1.35Sogndal xG
69%Both score
73%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
3–18%
1–17%
2–07%
2–26%
3–06%
From our goals model: Kongsvinger 2.6 – 1.3 Sogndal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kongsvinger to win✓
66%
1.52
1.60
Double chance
Either team to win✓
86%
1.16
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
69%
1.45
1.33
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.30
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
54%
1.87
1.77
Half-time result
Kongsvinger ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kongsvinger / FT Kongsvinger✓
42%
2.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.25
–
Form
Kongsvinger – last 6
LDWWLW
27 Jun
@ Haugesund
2–4
L
21 Jun
vs Stromsgodset
4–4
D
14 Jun
@ hodd
2–1
W
31 May
vs Asane
3–1
W
25 May
@ Stabaek
0–2
L
20 May
vs ODD Ballklubb
4–2
W
2.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Sogndal – last 6
WLLWLD
27 Jun
vs Egersund
4–2
W
21 Jun
@ Raufoss
1–3
L
14 Jun
vs Moss
2–4
L
31 May
@ Strommen
3–2
W
25 May
@ Sandnes ULF
0–2
L
20 May
vs Stabaek
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kongsvinger and Sogndal.
What is the prediction for Kongsvinger vs Sogndal?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Kongsvinger vs Sogndal?
On our numbers Kongsvinger have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Sogndal 21%.
How many goals will there be in Kongsvinger vs Sogndal?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kongsvinger vs Sogndal?
Our predicted score is Kongsvinger 2–1 Sogndal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Kongsvinger vs Sogndal?
Kongsvinger vs Sogndal (1. Division) kicks off on Friday 3 July 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Gjemselund Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
