Egersund host Moss in the 1. Division on Saturday 4 July, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT) at XL-BYGG Sorvest Arena. Egersund are 8th with 41 points from 30 games (in the top half), while Moss sit 13th on 32 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Egersund's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Sogndal 2–4 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 2.8 conceded.
Moss's last 5: LLWDL Most recently they lost to Strommen 2–3 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 2.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 1.9 for Egersund and 1.6 for Moss. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score in 69% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Egersund 48%, draw 19%, Moss 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (69%) at 1.40.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 69% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Egersund 1–1 Moss. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Egersund48%fair 2.10 · @2.00
Draw19%fair 5.23 · @3.75
Moss33%fair 3.01 · @3.00
3.54Expected goals
1.95Egersund xG
1.59Moss xG
69%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
2–19%
1–27%
2–27%
3–16%
1–06%
From our goals model: Egersund 1.9 – 1.6 Moss expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Egersund to win✓
48%
2.10
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
69%
1.45
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.65
Half-time result
Egersund ahead at half-time✓
37%
2.73
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Egersund / FT Egersund✓
29%
3.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.41
–
Form
Egersund – last 6
LWLLLD
27 Jun
@ Sogndal
2–4
L
21 Jun
vs Haugesund
5–2
W
14 Jun
@ Stabaek
1–3
L
31 May
vs Stromsgodset
0–5
L
25 May
@ hodd
1–3
L
20 May
vs Lyn
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Moss – last 6
LLWDLD
27 Jun
@ Strommen
2–3
L
21 Jun
vs Sandnes ULF
1–4
L
14 Jun
@ Sogndal
4–2
W
30 May
vs Stabaek
2–2
D
25 May
@ Haugesund
1–3
L
20 May
vs Stromsgodset
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Egersund and Moss.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Egersund vs Moss?
On our numbers Egersund have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Moss 33%.
How many goals will there be in Egersund vs Moss?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Egersund vs Moss?
Our predicted score is Egersund 1–1 Moss, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Egersund vs Moss?
Egersund vs Moss (1. Division) kicks off on Saturday 4 July 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at XL-BYGG Sorvest Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
