Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Haugesund to win @ 1.73 – our chance 63% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultHaugesund to win ✓63% · @1.73
Double chanceHaugesund or draw ✓81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.45
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66% · @1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.63
Haugesund vs Moss preview and prediction
The match
Moss travel to Haugesund Stadion in the 1. Division on Monday 25 May (16:00 WAT) to face Haugesund. Haugesund are 2nd with 65 points from 30 games (in the top four), while Moss sit 13th on 32 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 33 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Haugesund's last 5: WWWDL Most recently they beat Strommen 7–0 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
Moss's last 5: DLWLL Most recently they drew with Stromsgodset 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 4 of their last 5. They average 1.0 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Haugesund arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.6 goals: 2.4 for Haugesund and 1.2 for Moss. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score in 65% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Haugesund 63%, draw 19%, Moss 19%.
Safer route: Haugesund or draw (81%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.45.
Value angle: Haugesund to win at 1.73 – 63% on our numbers against 58% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Haugesund or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Haugesund 2–1 Moss. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Haugesund63%fair 1.59 · @1.73
Draw19%fair 5.35 · @3.95
Moss19%fair 5.40 · @3.75
3.62Expected goals
2.38Haugesund xG
1.24Moss xG
65%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
1–18%
2–08%
3–17%
1–06%
3–06%
From our goals model: Haugesund 2.4 – 1.2 Moss expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Haugesund to win✓
63%
1.59
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Haugesund or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.54
1.45
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
1.62
Half-time result
Haugesund ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Haugesund / FT Haugesund✗
41%
2.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.63
–
Form
Haugesund – last 6
WWWDLL
20 May
@ Strommen
7–0
W
1 May
vs Sandnes ULF
2–0
W
6 Apr
@ Lyn
4–2
W
30 Mar
@ Sandnes ULF
2–2
D
25 Mar
@ Viking
0–3
L
25 Feb
vs Ham-Kam
0–2
L
2.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Moss – last 6
DLWLLL
20 May
vs Stromsgodset
1–1
D
1 May
@ Ranheim
0–4
L
6 Apr
@ Asane
3–2
W
29 Mar
@ Stabaek
0–2
L
13 Mar
@ ODD Ballklubb
0–2
L
20 Feb
@ Mjondalen
2–3
L
1.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Haugesund and Moss.
Our pick is Haugesund or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Haugesund vs Moss?
On our numbers Haugesund have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Moss 19%.
How many goals will there be in Haugesund vs Moss?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Haugesund vs Moss?
Our predicted score is Haugesund 2–1 Moss, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Haugesund vs Moss?
Haugesund vs Moss (1. Division) kicks off on Monday 25 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Haugesund Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
