Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.88 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.88Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultHJK Helsinki to win ✓62% · @1.88
Double chanceEither team to win ✓86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10% · fair 10.09
Ilves vs HJK Helsinki preview and prediction
The match
The Veikkausliiga sees Ilves take on HJK Helsinki on Monday 31 August, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Tammela Stadium. Ilves are 2nd with 38 points from 27 games, while HJK Helsinki sit 2nd on 59 points. A gap of 21 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Ilves's last 5: LLDWL Most recently they lost to VPS 0–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
HJK Helsinki's last 5: LWLWD Most recently they lost to Gnistan 2–3 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
HJK Helsinki arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 1 July 2026, finished HJK Helsinki 2–1 Ilves.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.1 for Ilves and 2.0 for HJK Helsinki. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ilves 24%, draw 14%, HJK Helsinki 62%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.48.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was HJK Helsinki to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.88, above our fair price of 1.62, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Ilves 1–2 HJK Helsinki. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ilves24%fair 4.11 · @3.45
Draw14%fair 7.28 · @3.70
HJK Helsinki62%fair 1.62 · @1.88
3.10Expected goals
1.10Ilves xG
2.00HJK Helsinki xG
61%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–210%
0–19%
0–29%
1–37%
0–36%
From our goals model: Ilves 1.1 – 2.0 HJK Helsinki expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is HJK Helsinki to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.88.
Who will win Ilves vs HJK Helsinki?
On our numbers Ilves have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 14% and HJK Helsinki 62%.
How many goals will there be in Ilves vs HJK Helsinki?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ilves vs HJK Helsinki?
Our predicted score is Ilves 1–2 HJK Helsinki, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Ilves vs HJK Helsinki?
Ilves vs HJK Helsinki (Veikkausliiga) kicks off on Monday 31 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Tammela Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
