Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultIlves to win ✗40% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.66
Gnistan vs Ilves preview and prediction
The match
Ilves travel to Markku.fi Areena in the Veikkausliiga on Monday 17 August (16:00 WAT) to face Gnistan. Gnistan are 5th with 46 points from 32 games, while Ilves sit 2nd on 38 points.
Form guide
Gnistan's last 5: DLWWW Most recently they drew with SJK 2–2 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Ilves's last 5: DWLLW Most recently they drew with HNK Rijeka 1–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 23 May 2026, finished Ilves 2–0 Gnistan.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.5 for Gnistan and 1.6 for Ilves. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score in 66% of our simulations. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Gnistan 37%, draw 22%, Ilves 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (66%) at 1.44.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 66% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Gnistan 1–1 Ilves. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gnistan37%fair 2.68 · @2.36
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.50
Ilves40%fair 2.49 · @2.62
3.05Expected goals
1.49Gnistan xG
1.56Ilves xG
66%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Gnistan 1.5 – 1.6 Ilves expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Gnistan vs Ilves?
On our numbers Gnistan have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Ilves 40%.
How many goals will there be in Gnistan vs Ilves?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gnistan vs Ilves?
Our predicted score is Gnistan 1–1 Ilves, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Gnistan vs Ilves?
Gnistan vs Ilves (Veikkausliiga) kicks off on Monday 17 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Markku.fi Areena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
