Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultIlves to win ✓67% · @1.31
Double chanceIlves or draw ✓88% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✓11% · fair 9.33
Ilves vs Mariehamn preview and prediction
The match
Mariehamn travel to Tammela Stadium in the Veikkausliiga on Sunday 9 August (16:00 WAT) to face Ilves. Ilves are 2nd with 38 points from 27 games, while Mariehamn sit 6th on 19 points. A gap of 19 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Ilves's last 5: LLWWL Most recently they lost to HNK Rijeka 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Mariehamn's last 5: LDLLL Most recently they lost to Turku PS 0–3 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Ilves arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.3 for Ilves and 0.9 for Mariehamn. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ilves 67%, draw 21%, Mariehamn 12%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 61% chance at odds of 1.67. Predicted score: Ilves 2–1 Mariehamn. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ilves67%fair 1.49 · @1.31
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @5.30
Mariehamn12%fair 8.18 · @7.30
3.19Expected goals
2.28Ilves xG
0.91Mariehamn xG
61%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
2–110%
1–09%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Ilves 2.3 – 0.9 Mariehamn expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ilves to win✓
67%
1.49
1.31
Double chance
Ilves or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.65
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.12
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.71
1.67
Half-time result
Ilves ahead at half-time✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ilves / FT Ilves✓
45%
2.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✓
11%
9.33
–
Form
Ilves – last 6
LLWWLW
6 Aug
@ HNK Rijeka
0–1
L
2 Aug
@ AC Oulu
0–1
L
30 Jul
vs Stjarnan
1–0
W
26 Jul
vs Lahti
1–0
W
23 Jul
@ Stjarnan
0–1
L
20 Jul
@ Turku PS
3–1
W
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Mariehamn – last 6
LDLLLL
1 Aug
@ Turku PS
0–3
L
25 Jul
vs AC Oulu
1–1
D
20 Jul
vs Lahti
0–2
L
11 Jul
@ Gnistan
2–4
L
4 Jul
@ VPS
0–4
L
27 Jun
vs Inter Turku
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ilves and Mariehamn.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Ilves vs Mariehamn?
On our numbers Ilves have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Mariehamn 12%.
How many goals will there be in Ilves vs Mariehamn?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ilves vs Mariehamn?
Our predicted score is Ilves 2–1 Mariehamn, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Ilves vs Mariehamn?
Ilves vs Mariehamn (Veikkausliiga) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Tammela Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
