Value bet: Ilves to win @ 2.86 – our chance 42% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultIlves to win ✗42% · @2.86
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.44
AC Oulu vs Ilves preview and prediction
The match
AC Oulu host Ilves in the Veikkausliiga on Sunday 2 August, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Raatin stadion. AC Oulu are 4th with 48 points from 32 games, while Ilves sit 2nd on 38 points.
Form guide
AC Oulu's last 5: DLLDL Most recently they drew with Mariehamn 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Ilves's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Stjarnan 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Ilves arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 8 May 2026, finished Ilves 1–0 AC Oulu. Across their last 2 meetings AC Oulu have won 0, Ilves 1, with 1 draw and 2.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.4 for AC Oulu and 1.5 for Ilves. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 56% and both teams to score at 64%.
Betting angles
Win chances: AC Oulu 36%, draw 23%, Ilves 42%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.55.
Value angle: Ilves to win at 2.86 – 42% on our numbers against 35% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: AC Oulu 1–1 Ilves. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
AC Oulu36%fair 2.78 · @2.20
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.50
Ilves42%fair 2.41 · @2.86
2.93Expected goals
1.40AC Oulu xG
1.53Ilves xG
64%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–07%
0–26%
From our goals model: AC Oulu 1.4 – 1.5 Ilves expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win AC Oulu vs Ilves?
On our numbers AC Oulu have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Ilves 42%.
How many goals will there be in AC Oulu vs Ilves?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AC Oulu vs Ilves?
Our predicted score is AC Oulu 1–1 Ilves, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is AC Oulu vs Ilves?
AC Oulu vs Ilves (Veikkausliiga) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Raatin stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
