Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultIlves to win ✓40% · @2.24
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.70
Ilves vs Lahti preview and prediction
The match
Lahti travel to Tammela Stadium in the Veikkausliiga on Sunday 26 July (13:00 WAT) to face Ilves. Ilves are 2nd with 38 points from 27 games, while Lahti sit 1st on 39 points. Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Ilves's last 5: LWWDL Most recently they lost to Stjarnan 0–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Lahti's last 5: WWWDD Most recently they beat Mariehamn 2–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Lahti arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 10 June 2026, finished Ilves 5–2 Lahti. Across their last 2 meetings Ilves have won 1, Lahti 1, with 0 draws and 6.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.5 for Ilves and 1.5 for Lahti. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score in 65% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ilves 40%, draw 22%, Lahti 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Ilves 1–1 Lahti. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ilves40%fair 2.50 · @2.24
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.55
Lahti38%fair 2.65 · @2.76
2.95Expected goals
1.50Ilves xG
1.45Lahti xG
65%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
0–18%
2–26%
From our goals model: Ilves 1.5 – 1.5 Lahti expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Ilves vs Lahti?
On our numbers Ilves have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Lahti 38%.
How many goals will there be in Ilves vs Lahti?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ilves vs Lahti?
Our predicted score is Ilves 1–1 Lahti, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Ilves vs Lahti?
Ilves vs Lahti (Veikkausliiga) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Tammela Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
