Mariehamn host AC Oulu in the Veikkausliiga on Saturday 25 July, with kick-off at 14:30 (WAT). Mariehamn are 6th with 19 points from 27 games, while AC Oulu sit 4th on 48 points. A gap of 29 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Mariehamn's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Lahti 0–2 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
AC Oulu's last 5: LLDLW Most recently they lost to Gnistan 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
AC Oulu arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 0.8 points a game against 0.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 18 June 2026, finished AC Oulu 2–1 Mariehamn.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 0.8 for Mariehamn and 1.9 for AC Oulu. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Mariehamn 13%, draw 24%, AC Oulu 63%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Mariehamn 0–2 AC Oulu. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mariehamn13%fair 7.46 · @5.30
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.85
AC Oulu63%fair 1.60 · @1.56
2.74Expected goals
0.80Mariehamn xG
1.94AC Oulu xG
55%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–112%
0–212%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
0–06%
From our goals model: Mariehamn 0.8 – 1.9 AC Oulu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Mariehamn vs AC Oulu?
On our numbers Mariehamn have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 24% and AC Oulu 63%.
How many goals will there be in Mariehamn vs AC Oulu?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mariehamn vs AC Oulu?
Our predicted score is Mariehamn 0–2 AC Oulu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Mariehamn vs AC Oulu?
Mariehamn vs AC Oulu (Veikkausliiga) kicks off on Saturday 25 July 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
