The Veikkausliiga sees Mariehamn take on Lahti on Monday 20 July, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Wiklof Holding Arena. Mariehamn are 6th with 19 points from 27 games, while Lahti sit 1st on 39 points. A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Mariehamn's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Gnistan 2–4 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Lahti's last 5: WWDDL Most recently they beat HJK Helsinki 2–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Lahti arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 26 May 2026, finished Mariehamn 0–1 Lahti. Across their last 3 meetings Mariehamn have won 1, Lahti 1, with 1 draw and 2.3 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.0 for Mariehamn and 1.7 for Lahti. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Mariehamn 18%, draw 25%, Lahti 57%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Mariehamn 1–1 Lahti. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mariehamn18%fair 5.55 · @5.50
Draw25%fair 4.08 · @3.85
Lahti57%fair 1.74 · @1.54
2.63Expected goals
0.96Mariehamn xG
1.67Lahti xG
59%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–112%
1–112%
0–210%
1–210%
0–07%
1–07%
From our goals model: Mariehamn 1.0 – 1.7 Lahti expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Mariehamn vs Lahti?
On our numbers Mariehamn have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Lahti 57%.
How many goals will there be in Mariehamn vs Lahti?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mariehamn vs Lahti?
Our predicted score is Mariehamn 1–1 Lahti, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Mariehamn vs Lahti?
Mariehamn vs Lahti (Veikkausliiga) kicks off on Monday 20 July 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Wiklof Holding Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.