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Veikkausliiga · Finland · Wiklof Holding Arena
0–2
FT

Lahti

WWDDL

Mariehamn vs Lahti prediction & analysis

75%
Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.22Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultLahti to win ✓57% · @1.54
Double chanceLahti or draw ✓82% · @1.09
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.36

Mariehamn vs Lahti preview and prediction

The match

The Veikkausliiga sees Mariehamn take on Lahti on Monday 20 July, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Wiklof Holding Arena. Mariehamn are 6th with 19 points from 27 games, while Lahti sit 1st on 39 points. A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.

Form guide

Mariehamn's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Gnistan 2–4 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.

Lahti's last 5: WWDDL Most recently they beat HJK Helsinki 2–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Lahti arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.0.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 26 May 2026, finished Mariehamn 0–1 Lahti. Across their last 3 meetings Mariehamn have won 1, Lahti 1, with 1 draw and 2.3 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.0 for Mariehamn and 1.7 for Lahti. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 59%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Mariehamn 1–1 Lahti. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Mariehamn18%fair 5.55 · @5.50
Draw25%fair 4.08 · @3.85
Lahti57%fair 1.74 · @1.54
2.63Expected goals
0.96Mariehamn xG
1.67Lahti xG
59%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

0–112%
1–112%
0–210%
1–210%
0–07%
1–07%

From our goals model: Mariehamn 1.0 – 1.7 Lahti expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLahti to win ✓57%1.741.54
Double chanceLahti or draw ✓82%1.221.09
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗59%1.711.70
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.331.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗52%1.921.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓69%1.441.42
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.38–
Half-time / full-timeHT Lahti / FT Lahti ✓33%3.03–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.36–

Form

Mariehamn – last 6

LLLLLL
11 Jul@ Gnistan2–4L
4 Jul@ VPS0–4L
27 Junvs Inter Turku0–2L
23 Junvs HJK Helsinki0–4L
18 Jun@ AC Oulu1–2L
13 Junvs Gnistan0–3L
0.5Scored / game
3.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Lahti – last 6

WWDDLL
11 Julvs HJK Helsinki2–0W
4 Julvs Gnistan1–0W
27 Jun@ AC Oulu1–1D
23 Junvs Turku PS0–0D
17 Jun@ Gnistan0–1L
13 Junvs SJK2–3L
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

26 May 2026Mariehamn v Lahti0–1
10 May 2026Lahti v Mariehamn1–1
5 Mar 2026Mariehamn v Lahti4–0
Mariehamn vs Lahti head-to-head page →

Veikkausliiga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1KuPS221273+1543
2Inter Turku221192+1342
3HJK Helsinki221147+937
4Gnistan221066+736
5AC Oulu221048034
6VPS22967+733
7Lahti22958+732
8Turku PS22877+531
9Ilves227411-325
10SJK224711-819
11FF Jaro223613-2615
12Mariehamn223514-2614

More Veikkausliiga predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Mariehamn vs Lahti?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Mariehamn vs Lahti?

On our numbers Mariehamn have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Lahti 57%.

How many goals will there be in Mariehamn vs Lahti?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Mariehamn vs Lahti?

Our predicted score is Mariehamn 1–1 Lahti, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Mariehamn vs Lahti?

Mariehamn vs Lahti (Veikkausliiga) kicks off on Monday 20 July 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Wiklof Holding Arena.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.