Value bet: KuPS to win @ 1.68 – our chance 65% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultKuPS to win ✓65% · @1.68
Double chanceKuPS or draw ✓85% · @1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.35
KuPS vs AC Oulu preview and prediction
The match
KuPS host AC Oulu in the Veikkausliiga on Wednesday 22 April, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at Vare Areena. KuPS are 3rd with 53 points from 32 games, while AC Oulu sit 4th on 48 points.
Form guide
KuPS's last 4: LLLL Most recently they lost to Lech Poznan 0–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
AC Oulu's last 3: LWD Most recently they lost to FF Jaro 1–2 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
AC Oulu arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.9 for KuPS and 0.8 for AC Oulu. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: KuPS 65%, draw 20%, AC Oulu 15%.
Safer route: KuPS or draw (85%) at 1.13.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.60.
Value angle: KuPS to win at 1.68 – 65% on our numbers against 60% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: KuPS 2–0 AC Oulu. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
KuPS65%fair 1.53 · @1.68
Draw20%fair 5.01 · @3.70
AC Oulu15%fair 6.82 · @4.45
2.73Expected goals
1.95KuPS xG
0.78AC Oulu xG
55%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: KuPS 1.9 – 0.8 AC Oulu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
KuPS to win✓
65%
1.53
1.68 ▲
Double chance
KuPS or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.13
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
1.45
Half-time result
KuPS ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT KuPS / FT KuPS✗
41%
2.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.35
–
Form
KuPS – last 4
LLLL
26 Feb
@ Lech Poznan
0–1
L
22 Feb
vs FF Jaro
3–4
L
19 Feb
vs Lech Poznan
0–2
L
14 Feb
vs Ilves
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
AC Oulu – last 3
LWD
15 Apr
vs FF Jaro
1–2
L
28 Mar
@ FF Jaro
3–2
W
21 Feb
@ Ilves
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between KuPS and AC Oulu.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win KuPS vs AC Oulu?
On our numbers KuPS have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 20% and AC Oulu 15%.
How many goals will there be in KuPS vs AC Oulu?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for KuPS vs AC Oulu?
Our predicted score is KuPS 2–0 AC Oulu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is KuPS vs AC Oulu?
KuPS vs AC Oulu (Veikkausliiga) kicks off on Wednesday 22 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Vare Areena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
