AC Oulu host Mariehamn in the Veikkausliiga on Thursday 18 June, with kick-off at 10:59 (WAT) at Raatin stadion. AC Oulu are 4th with 48 points from 32 games, while Mariehamn sit 6th on 19 points. A gap of 29 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
AC Oulu's last 5: DWWLL Most recently they drew with Inter Turku 0–0 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Mariehamn's last 5: LLLLW Most recently they lost to Gnistan 0–3 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
AC Oulu arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.9 for AC Oulu and 0.6 for Mariehamn. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: AC Oulu 68%, draw 22%, Mariehamn 10%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.42. Predicted score: AC Oulu 1–0 Mariehamn. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
AC Oulu68%fair 1.47 · @1.39
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @4.30
Mariehamn10%fair 10.27 · @7.30
2.54Expected goals
1.93AC Oulu xG
0.61Mariehamn xG
54%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–015%
3–09%
1–19%
2–19%
0–08%
From our goals model: AC Oulu 1.9 – 0.6 Mariehamn expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AC Oulu to win✓
68%
1.47
1.39
Double chance
AC Oulu or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.42
Half-time result
AC Oulu ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AC Oulu / FT AC Oulu✗
44%
2.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.57
–
Form
AC Oulu – last 6
DWWLLL
13 Jun
@ Inter Turku
0–0
D
31 May
vs FF Jaro
2–1
W
23 May
@ SJK
1–0
W
8 May
@ Ilves
0–1
L
22 Apr
@ KuPS
2–3
L
15 Apr
vs FF Jaro
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Mariehamn – last 6
LLLLWD
13 Jun
vs Gnistan
0–3
L
30 May
@ HJK Helsinki
0–1
L
26 May
vs Lahti
0–1
L
23 May
@ FF Jaro
0–3
L
13 May
vs PuiU Helsinki
3–0
W
10 May
@ Lahti
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AC Oulu and Mariehamn.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win AC Oulu vs Mariehamn?
On our numbers AC Oulu have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Mariehamn 10%.
How many goals will there be in AC Oulu vs Mariehamn?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AC Oulu vs Mariehamn?
Our predicted score is AC Oulu 1–0 Mariehamn, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is AC Oulu vs Mariehamn?
AC Oulu vs Mariehamn (Veikkausliiga) kicks off on Thursday 18 June 2026 at 10:59 (West Africa Time) at Raatin stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
