Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: VPS to win @ 3.15 – our chance 40% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +26%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultVPS to win ✗40% · @3.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 13.69
Lahti vs VPS preview and prediction
The match
The Veikkausliiga sees Lahti take on VPS on Monday 18 May, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Lahden Stadion. Lahti are 1st with 39 points from 27 games, while VPS sit 6th on 40 points. Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Lahti's last 5: WDLWW Most recently they beat MP 3–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
VPS's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat ÅIFK 7–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 5.0 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
VPS arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.0 for Lahti and 1.1 for VPS. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 61% likely. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lahti 36%, draw 25%, VPS 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.80.
Value angle: VPS to win at 3.15 – 40% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Lahti 0–1 VPS. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lahti36%fair 2.81 · @2.26
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @3.05
VPS40%fair 2.51 · @3.15
2.08Expected goals
1.00Lahti xG
1.08VPS xG
53%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
1–113%
0–012%
1–012%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: Lahti 1.0 – 1.1 VPS expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
VPS to win✗
40%
2.51
3.15 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.33
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.55
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
21%
4.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
13.69
–
Form
Lahti – last 6
WDLWWL
13 May
vs MP
3–1
W
10 May
vs Mariehamn
1–1
D
4 May
@ HJK Helsinki
0–1
L
28 Apr
@ Union Plaani
4–2
W
13 Apr
@ Kooteepee
3–1
W
10 Apr
@ Turku PS
1–2
L
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
VPS – last 6
WWWWDD
13 May
vs ÅIFK
7–0
W
29 Apr
@ Leki
9–1
W
24 Apr
vs Ilves
3–2
W
14 Apr
@ SalPa II
11–0
W
10 Apr
vs FF Jaro
0–0
D
4 Apr
@ Inter Turku
0–0
D
5.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lahti and VPS.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Lahti vs VPS?
On our numbers Lahti have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 25% and VPS 40%.
How many goals will there be in Lahti vs VPS?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lahti vs VPS?
Our predicted score is Lahti 0–1 VPS, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Lahti vs VPS?
Lahti vs VPS (Veikkausliiga) kicks off on Monday 18 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Lahden Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
