Thursday, 12 November 2026 3 live now Results recordAccuracyHow it works18+ · Bet responsibly
Veikkausliiga · Finland · Lahden Stadion

Lahti

LWWLD
1–1
FT

Lahti vs Mariehamn prediction & analysis

75%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.30Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultLahti to win ✗65% · @1.56
Double chanceLahti or draw ✓85% · @1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.17

Lahti vs Mariehamn preview and prediction

The match

Mariehamn travel to Lahden Stadion in the Veikkausliiga on Sunday 10 May (13:00 WAT) to face Lahti. Lahti are 1st with 39 points from 27 games, while Mariehamn sit 6th on 19 points. A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.

Form guide

Lahti's last 5: LWWLD Most recently they lost to HJK Helsinki 0–1 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Mariehamn's last 3: WLW Most recently they beat HPS 2–1 away. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.

Mariehamn arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.2.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 5 March 2026, finished Mariehamn 4–0 Lahti.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.7 for Lahti and 0.6 for Mariehamn. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 50%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Lahti 1–0 Mariehamn. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Lahti65%fair 1.53 · @1.56
Draw20%fair 5.00 · @3.70
Mariehamn15%fair 6.75 · @5.70
2.37Expected goals
1.73Lahti xG
0.64Mariehamn xG
50%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
0–09%
2–19%
3–08%

From our goals model: Lahti 1.7 – 0.6 Mariehamn expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLahti to win ✗65%1.531.56
Double chanceLahti or draw ✓85%1.171.08
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗50%1.981.77
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓70%1.431.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓54%1.841.83
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.331.30
Half-time resultLahti ahead at half-time ✓44%2.27–
Half-time / full-timeHT Lahti / FT Lahti ✗40%2.51–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16%6.17–

Form

Lahti – last 6

LWWLDL
4 May@ HJK Helsinki0–1L
28 Apr@ Union Plaani4–2W
13 Apr@ Kooteepee3–1W
10 Apr@ Turku PS1–2L
28 Marvs JIPPO1–1D
5 Mar@ Mariehamn0–4L
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Mariehamn – last 3

WLW
28 Apr@ HPS2–1W
10 Apr@ SJK0–3L
5 Marvs Lahti4–0W
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

5 Mar 2026Mariehamn v Lahti4–0
Lahti vs Mariehamn head-to-head page →

Veikkausliiga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1KuPS221273+1543
2Inter Turku221192+1342
3HJK Helsinki221147+937
4Gnistan221066+736
5AC Oulu221048034
6VPS22967+733
7Lahti22958+732
8Turku PS22877+531
9Ilves227411-325
10SJK224711-819
11FF Jaro223613-2615
12Mariehamn223514-2614

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lahti vs Mariehamn?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Lahti vs Mariehamn?

On our numbers Lahti have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Mariehamn 15%.

How many goals will there be in Lahti vs Mariehamn?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Lahti vs Mariehamn?

Our predicted score is Lahti 1–0 Mariehamn, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Lahti vs Mariehamn?

Lahti vs Mariehamn (Veikkausliiga) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Lahden Stadion.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.