The Veikkausliiga sees KuPS take on SJK on Friday 8 May, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT) at Vare Areena. KuPS are 3rd with 53 points from 32 games, while SJK sit 4th on 27 points. A gap of 26 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
KuPS's last 5: DWLLL Most recently they drew with HJK Helsinki 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 5. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
SJK's last 5: DWDWW Most recently they drew with Ilves 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.8 goals a game.
SJK arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.0 for KuPS and 0.8 for SJK. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 56%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: KuPS 66%, draw 21%, SJK 12%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.60.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: KuPS 2–0 SJK. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
KuPS66%fair 1.50 · @1.55
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @3.95
SJK12%fair 8.14 · @5.20
2.79Expected goals
2.03KuPS xG
0.76SJK xG
59%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
1–012%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%
From our goals model: KuPS 2.0 – 0.8 SJK expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
KuPS to win✗
66%
1.50
1.55
Double chance
KuPS or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.29
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.80
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.50
Half-time result
KuPS ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT KuPS / FT KuPS✗
43%
2.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
13%
7.89
–
Form
KuPS – last 6
DWLLLL
26 Apr
vs HJK Helsinki
1–1
D
22 Apr
vs AC Oulu
3–2
W
26 Feb
@ Lech Poznan
0–1
L
22 Feb
vs FF Jaro
3–4
L
19 Feb
vs Lech Poznan
0–2
L
14 Feb
vs Ilves
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
SJK – last 6
DWDWWL
2 May
vs Ilves
1–1
D
28 Apr
@ VPS II
6–1
W
24 Apr
vs FF Jaro
1–1
D
14 Apr
@ HaPK Edustus
6–1
W
10 Apr
vs Mariehamn
3–0
W
4 Apr
@ HJK Helsinki
0–3
L
2.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between KuPS and SJK.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win KuPS vs SJK?
On our numbers KuPS have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and SJK 12%.
How many goals will there be in KuPS vs SJK?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for KuPS vs SJK?
Our predicted score is KuPS 2–0 SJK, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is KuPS vs SJK?
KuPS vs SJK (Veikkausliiga) kicks off on Friday 8 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Vare Areena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
