Lahti travel to Bolt Arena in the Veikkausliiga on Monday 4 May (17:00 WAT) to face HJK Helsinki. HJK Helsinki are 2nd with 59 points from 32 games, while Lahti sit 1st on 39 points. A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
HJK Helsinki's last 5: DDWLW Most recently they drew with Inter Turku 1–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Lahti's last 5: WWLDL Most recently they beat Union Plaani 4–2 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 5. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
HJK Helsinki arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 2.0 for HJK Helsinki and 0.7 for Lahti. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: HJK Helsinki 69%, draw 18%, Lahti 13%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: HJK Helsinki 2–0 Lahti. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
HJK Helsinki69%fair 1.44 · @1.42
Draw18%fair 5.68 · @4.20
Lahti13%fair 7.58 · @6.80
2.63Expected goals
1.96HJK Helsinki xG
0.67Lahti xG
52%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–014%
1–19%
2–19%
3–09%
0–07%
From our goals model: HJK Helsinki 2.0 – 0.7 Lahti expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
HJK Helsinki to win✓
69%
1.44
1.42
Double chance
HJK Helsinki or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.50
Half-time result
HJK Helsinki ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT HJK Helsinki / FT HJK Helsinki✓
44%
2.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
14%
7.07
–
Form
HJK Helsinki – last 6
DDWLWW
29 Apr
@ Inter Turku
1–1
D
26 Apr
@ KuPS
1–1
D
4 Apr
vs SJK
3–0
W
27 Mar
@ Djurgardens IF
2–4
L
21 Mar
vs SJK
1–0
W
21 Feb
vs Turku PS
3–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Lahti – last 6
WWLDLD
28 Apr
@ Union Plaani
4–2
W
13 Apr
@ Kooteepee
3–1
W
10 Apr
@ Turku PS
1–2
L
28 Mar
vs JIPPO
1–1
D
5 Mar
@ Mariehamn
0–4
L
22 Feb
@ Gnistan
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between HJK Helsinki and Lahti.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win HJK Helsinki vs Lahti?
On our numbers HJK Helsinki have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Lahti 13%.
How many goals will there be in HJK Helsinki vs Lahti?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for HJK Helsinki vs Lahti?
Our predicted score is HJK Helsinki 2–0 Lahti, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is HJK Helsinki vs Lahti?
HJK Helsinki vs Lahti (Veikkausliiga) kicks off on Monday 4 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Bolt Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
