The Veikkausliiga sees KuPS take on HJK Helsinki on Sunday 26 April, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT) at Vare Areena. KuPS are 3rd with 53 points from 32 games, while HJK Helsinki sit 2nd on 59 points.
Form guide
KuPS's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat AC Oulu 3–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 2.0 conceded.
HJK Helsinki's last 5: WLWWL Most recently they beat SJK 3–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
HJK Helsinki arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.6.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.5 for KuPS and 1.3 for HJK Helsinki. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 64%.
Betting angles
Win chances: KuPS 42%, draw 23%, HJK Helsinki 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: KuPS 1–1 HJK Helsinki. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
KuPS42%fair 2.40 · @2.46
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.40
HJK Helsinki36%fair 2.81 · @2.55
2.82Expected goals
1.48KuPS xG
1.34HJK Helsinki xG
64%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–06%
From our goals model: KuPS 1.5 – 1.3 HJK Helsinki expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
KuPS to win✗
42%
2.40
2.46
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.57
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.44
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT KuPS / FT KuPS✗
24%
4.20
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
9%
11.39
–
Form
KuPS – last 5
WLLLL
22 Apr
vs AC Oulu
3–2
W
26 Feb
@ Lech Poznan
0–1
L
22 Feb
vs FF Jaro
3–4
L
19 Feb
vs Lech Poznan
0–2
L
14 Feb
vs Ilves
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
HJK Helsinki – last 5
WLWWL
4 Apr
vs SJK
3–0
W
27 Mar
@ Djurgardens IF
2–4
L
21 Mar
vs SJK
1–0
W
21 Feb
vs Turku PS
3–1
W
13 Feb
vs Hammarby FF
1–2
L
2.0Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
60%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between KuPS and HJK Helsinki.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win KuPS vs HJK Helsinki?
On our numbers KuPS have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and HJK Helsinki 36%.
How many goals will there be in KuPS vs HJK Helsinki?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for KuPS vs HJK Helsinki?
Our predicted score is KuPS 1–1 HJK Helsinki, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is KuPS vs HJK Helsinki?
KuPS vs HJK Helsinki (Veikkausliiga) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Vare Areena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
