Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Häcken W to win @ 1.83 – our chance 61% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultHäcken W to win ✓61% · @1.83
Double chanceHäcken W or draw ✓85% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.97
Malmö FF W vs Häcken W preview and prediction
The match
Malmö FF W host Häcken W in the Damallsvenskan on Monday 11 May, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at Eleda Stadion. Malmö FF W are 3rd with 47 points from 25 games (in the top four), while Häcken W sit 1st on 68 points (top of the table). A gap of 21 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Malmö FF W's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Rosengård W 1–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Häcken W's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Djurgården 3–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 0.8 for Malmö FF W and 1.9 for Häcken W. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 61%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Malmö FF W 15%, draw 24%, Häcken W 61%.
Safer route: Häcken W or draw (85%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.55.
Value angle: Häcken W to win at 1.83 – 61% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Häcken W or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Malmö FF W 0–1 Häcken W. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Malmö FF W15%fair 6.89 · @3.50
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.30
Häcken W61%fair 1.64 · @1.83
2.71Expected goals
0.83Malmö FF W xG
1.88Häcken W xG
61%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
0–212%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
0–07%
From our goals model: Malmö FF W 0.8 – 1.9 Häcken W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Häcken W to win✓
61%
1.64
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Häcken W or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.65
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Half-time result
Häcken W ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Häcken W / FT Häcken W✗
39%
2.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.97
–
Form
Malmö FF W – last 6
WWDWWL
2 May
@ Rosengård W
1–0
W
26 Apr
vs Brommapojkarna W
2–0
W
6 Apr
@ Norrköping W
1–1
D
29 Mar
vs Uppsala W
3–0
W
21 Feb
@ Umeå
4–1
W
15 Feb
vs Piteå W
2–3
L
2.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Häcken W – last 6
WWWLWW
6 May
vs Djurgården
3–0
W
1 May
vs Hammarby
3–2
W
6 Apr
@ Vittsjö
2–1
W
2 Apr
vs Eintracht Frankfurt W
0–1
L
29 Mar
vs Brommapojkarna W
3–2
W
25 Mar
@ Eintracht Frankfurt W
3–0
W
2.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Malmö FF W and Häcken W.
What is the prediction for Malmö FF W vs Häcken W?
Our pick is Häcken W or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Malmö FF W vs Häcken W?
On our numbers Malmö FF W have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Häcken W 61%.
How many goals will there be in Malmö FF W vs Häcken W?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Malmö FF W vs Häcken W?
Our predicted score is Malmö FF W 0–1 Häcken W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Malmö FF W vs Häcken W?
Malmö FF W vs Häcken W (Damallsvenskan) kicks off on Monday 11 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Eleda Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
