Eliteserien · Norway · Jotun Arena
Sandefjord
Molde
Sandefjord vs Molde prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.43 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Sandefjord 1.3 – 2.2 Molde expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Molde travel as clear favourites – 60% to win, against 22% for Sandefjord.
Sandefjord have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.7 per game. Molde have 13 points from their last 6 (4W 1D 1L), averaging 3.7 scored and 1.3 conceded. Molde come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.5 goals (1.3 for Sandefjord, 2.2 for Molde). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–2 (10%), 1–1 (9%), 0–2 (8%).
In their last 1 meeting, Sandefjord have won 0, Molde have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 70% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.30 is close to our fair price of 1.43.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Molde to win ✗ | 60% | 1.67 | 1.70 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 82% | 1.23 | 1.20 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 65% | 1.55 | 1.40 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 87% | 1.15 | 1.08 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 70% | 1.43 | 1.30 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 50% | 1.99 | 2.00 |
| Half-time result | Molde ahead at half-time ✓ | 45% | 2.24 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Molde / FT Molde ✗ | 38% | 2.62 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 ✗ | 10% | 10.44 | – |
Form
Sandefjord – last 6
| 31 Oct | @ Aalesund | 4–3 | W |
| 28 Oct | @ ODD Ballklubb | 1–3 | L |
| 25 Oct | @ Start | 0–1 | L |
| 18 Oct | vs Lillestrom | 0–2 | L |
| 10 Oct | @ Rosenborg | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Sep | @ Flint | 1–0 | W |
Molde – last 6
| 1 Nov | @ Brann | 2–3 | L |
| 28 Oct | vs Stromsgodset | 4–1 | W |
| 25 Oct | vs Fredrikstad | 5–1 | W |
| 18 Oct | vs Start | 6–1 | W |
| 11 Oct | @ Lillestrom | 2–2 | D |
| 4 Oct | vs Kristiansund BK | 3–0 | W |
Head to head
| 30 May 2026 | Molde v Sandefjord | 2–1 |
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Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Sandefjord vs Molde?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Sandefjord vs Molde?
On our numbers Sandefjord have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Molde 60%.
How many goals will there be in Sandefjord vs Molde?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
When is Sandefjord vs Molde?
Sandefjord vs Molde (Eliteserien) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Jotun Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.