Eliteserien · Norway

Lillestrom

LWWWL
3–2
FT

Aalesund

LWLWL

Lillestrom vs Aalesund prediction & analysis

81%
Footrivo pick

Lillestrom or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultLillestrom to win ✓61% · @1.70
Double chanceLillestrom or draw ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.36
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.53

Win chances

Lillestrom61%fair 1.64 · @1.70
Draw20%fair 4.90 · @4.50
Aalesund19%fair 5.34 · @4.10
3.55Expected goals
2.32Lillestrom xG
1.24Aalesund xG
67%Both score
70%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–110%
1–18%
2–08%
3–17%
1–07%
3–06%

From our goals model: Lillestrom 2.3 – 1.2 Aalesund expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Lillestrom are clear favourites at home with a 61% chance of winning, against 19% for Aalesund.

Lillestrom have taken 12 points from their last 6 matches (4W 0D 2L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.7 per game. Aalesund have 9 points from their last 6 (3W 0D 3L), averaging 2.3 scored and 2.0 conceded.

We expect around 3.6 goals (2.3 for Lillestrom, 1.2 for Aalesund). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–1 (10%), 1–1 (8%), 2–0 (8%).

In their last 1 meeting, Lillestrom have won 1, Aalesund have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 4.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Lillestrom or draw at a 81% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.23.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLillestrom to win ✓61%1.641.70
Double chanceLillestrom or draw ✓81%1.231.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓67%1.491.36
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓88%1.141.08
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70%1.421.33
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗51%1.981.91
Half-time resultLillestrom ahead at half-time ✗46%2.16–
Half-time / full-timeHT Lillestrom / FT Lillestrom ✗40%2.50–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.53–

Form

Lillestrom – last 6

LWWWLW
5 Novvs Plzen0–1L
1 Nov@ Start1–0W
28 Octvs Sogndal2–1W
25 Octvs Brann3–2W
22 Octvs Real Sociedad0–6L
18 Oct@ Sandefjord2–0W
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Aalesund – last 6

LWLWLW
31 Octvs Sandefjord3–4L
28 Oct@ Kristiansund BK2–0W
25 Oct@ Sarpsborg 08 FF1–2L
17 Oct@ Kristiansund BK4–1W
11 Octvs Sarpsborg 08 FF2–4L
19 Sep@ Molde2–1W
2.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Mar 2026Aalesund v Lillestrom1–3

More Eliteserien predictions

FT Tromso0 BodoGlimt2 161766 2BodoGlimt to win 66%@1.40 ✓ FT Ham-Kam3 Sarpsborg 08 FF0 321949 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 62%@1.50 ✓ FT Sandefjord5 Molde5 221860 O2.5Over 2.5 goals 70%@1.30 ✓ FT Viking5 KFUM Oslo1 741610 1Viking to win 74%@1.28 ✓ FT Fredrikstad2 Brann2 351945 GGBoth teams to score 68%@1.40 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lillestrom vs Aalesund?

Our pick is Lillestrom or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Lillestrom vs Aalesund?

On our numbers Lillestrom have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Aalesund 19%.

How many goals will there be in Lillestrom vs Aalesund?

We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.

When is Lillestrom vs Aalesund?

Lillestrom vs Aalesund (Eliteserien) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.