Eliteserien · Norway · Briskeby Arena

Ham-Kam

DWLLW
3–0
FT

Sarpsborg 08 FF

LWWLW

Ham-Kam vs Sarpsborg 08 FF prediction & analysis

62%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.50Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultSarpsborg 08 FF to win ✗49% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.74

Win chances

Ham-Kam32%fair 3.15 · @3.00
Draw19%fair 5.15 · @3.75
Sarpsborg 08 FF49%fair 2.05 · @2.15
3.10Expected goals
1.35Ham-Kam xG
1.75Sarpsborg 08 FF xG
62%Both score
59%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–17%
0–27%
2–26%

From our goals model: Ham-Kam 1.4 – 1.7 Sarpsborg 08 FF expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Sarpsborg 08 FF shade it despite being away from home – 49% to win, against 32% for Ham-Kam.

Ham-Kam have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 2.2 per game. Sarpsborg 08 FF have 12 points from their last 6 (4W 0D 2L), averaging 2.2 scored and 2.0 conceded. Sarpsborg 08 FF come into this in clearly the better form.

We expect around 3.1 goals (1.4 for Ham-Kam, 1.7 for Sarpsborg 08 FF). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 1–2 (9%), 0–1 (8%).

In their last 2 meetings, Ham-Kam have won 0, Sarpsborg 08 FF have won 2 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 62% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.50 is close to our fair price of 1.60.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSarpsborg 08 FF to win ✗49%2.052.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81%1.241.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗62%1.611.53
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.241.18
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓59%1.691.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓62%1.601.50
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓39%2.59–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sarpsborg 08 FF / FT Sarpsborg 08 FF ✗29%3.51–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.74–

Form

Ham-Kam – last 6

DWLLWL
1 Nov@ KFUM Oslo2–2D
28 Oct@ Rosenborg2–1W
24 Octvs Rosenborg0–3L
17 Octvs BodoGlimt0–2L
11 Oct@ Start4–2W
20 Sep@ Tromso2–3L
1.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Sarpsborg 08 FF – last 6

LWWLWW
1 Novvs Kristiansund BK2–4L
28 Octvs Valerenga3–2W
25 Octvs Aalesund2–1W
18 Octvs Rosenborg0–3L
11 Oct@ Aalesund4–2W
30 Sep@ Follo2–0W
2.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

26 Jul 2026Sarpsborg 08 FF v Ham-Kam1–0
13 Feb 2026Sarpsborg 08 FF v Ham-Kam3–2

More Eliteserien predictions

FT Tromso0 BodoGlimt2 161766 2BodoGlimt to win 66%@1.40 ✓ FT Lillestrom3 Aalesund2 612019 1XLillestrom or draw 81%@1.22 ✓ FT Sandefjord5 Molde5 221860 O2.5Over 2.5 goals 70%@1.30 ✓ FT Viking5 KFUM Oslo1 741610 1Viking to win 74%@1.28 ✓ FT Fredrikstad2 Brann2 351945 GGBoth teams to score 68%@1.40 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ham-Kam vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Ham-Kam vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?

On our numbers Ham-Kam have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Sarpsborg 08 FF 49%.

How many goals will there be in Ham-Kam vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

When is Ham-Kam vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?

Ham-Kam vs Sarpsborg 08 FF (Eliteserien) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Briskeby Arena.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.