Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Rosenborg to win @ 1.80 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultRosenborg to win ✓60% · @1.80
Double chanceRosenborg or draw ✓82% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.05
Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg preview and prediction
The match
Rosenborg travel to Fredrikstad Stadion in the Eliteserien on Saturday 31 October (16:00 WAT) to face Fredrikstad. Fredrikstad are 12th with 30 points from 26 games (in the bottom half), while Rosenborg sit 3rd on 46 points (in the top four). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Fredrikstad's last 5: WLLDD Most recently they beat Ranheim 5–2 away. They average 1.8 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Rosenborg's last 5: LWWDW Most recently they lost to Ham-Kam 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Rosenborg arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 27 July 2026, finished Rosenborg 4–0 Fredrikstad.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.0 for Fredrikstad and 2.0 for Rosenborg. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations.
Value angle: Rosenborg to win at 1.80 – 60% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Rosenborg or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.22, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Fredrikstad 1–2 Rosenborg. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fredrikstad18%fair 5.62 · @3.80
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.60
Rosenborg60%fair 1.68 · @1.80
3.06Expected goals
1.03Fredrikstad xG
2.03Rosenborg xG
59%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
1–110%
0–210%
0–110%
1–37%
0–37%
From our goals model: Fredrikstad 1.0 – 2.0 Rosenborg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg?
Our pick is Rosenborg or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg?
On our numbers Fredrikstad have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Rosenborg 60%.
How many goals will there be in Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg?
Our predicted score is Fredrikstad 1–2 Rosenborg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg?
Fredrikstad vs Rosenborg (Eliteserien) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Fredrikstad Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
