The Eliteserien sees Viking take on Fredrikstad on Saturday 17 October, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Lyse Arena. Viking are 1st with 62 points from 26 games (top of the table), while Fredrikstad sit 12th on 30 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 32 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Viking's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Bayern München 3–3 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 3.3 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Fredrikstad's last 5: DDWDL Most recently they drew with Tromso 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Viking arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.3 for Viking and 0.7 for Fredrikstad. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 59% and both teams to score at 56%.
Our pre-match pick was Viking to win – a 74% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Viking 2–0 Fredrikstad. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Viking74%fair 1.36 · @1.25
Draw15%fair 6.53 · @5.80
Fredrikstad11%fair 9.16 · @8.50
3.07Expected goals
2.33Viking xG
0.74Fredrikstad xG
56%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
1–011%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Viking 2.3 – 0.7 Fredrikstad expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Viking to win✓
74%
1.36
1.25
Double chance
Viking or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
Viking ahead at half-time✗
53%
1.89
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Viking / FT Viking✗
49%
2.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
13%
7.94
–
Form
Viking – last 6
DWWWWL
13 Oct
vs Bayern München
3–3
D
9 Oct
@ Brann
2–0
W
1 Oct
@ Madla
3–0
W
20 Sep
vs Lillestrom
3–0
W
13 Sep
vs Kristiansund BK
8–1
W
9 Sep
@ VfB Stuttgart
1–3
L
3.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Fredrikstad – last 6
DDWDLW
11 Oct
vs Tromso
1–1
D
20 Sep
@ Valerenga
1–1
D
16 Sep
@ Stjørdals-Blink
1–0
W
13 Sep
vs Sarpsborg 08 FF
1–1
D
4 Sep
vs BodoGlimt
1–2
L
30 Aug
@ Lillestrom
4–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Viking and Fredrikstad.
Our pick is Viking to win with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Viking vs Fredrikstad?
On our numbers Viking have a 74% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Fredrikstad 11%.
How many goals will there be in Viking vs Fredrikstad?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Viking vs Fredrikstad?
Our predicted score is Viking 2–0 Fredrikstad, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Viking vs Fredrikstad?
Viking vs Fredrikstad (Eliteserien) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Lyse Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
