The Eliteserien sees Molde take on Aalesund on Saturday 19 September, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Aker Stadion. Molde are 5th with 44 points from 26 games (in the top half), while Aalesund sit 15th on 24 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Molde's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat TryggLade 5–0 away. Goals have not been a problem: 5.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Aalesund's last 5: DLWLW Most recently they drew with Førde 2–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 4.0 goals a game.
Molde arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 11 July 2026, finished Aalesund 2–2 Molde.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.7 goals: 2.7 for Molde and 1.0 for Aalesund. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Molde 71%, draw 18%, Aalesund 11%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.36.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Molde to win – a 71% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Molde 2–1 Aalesund. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Molde71%fair 1.41 · @1.33
Draw18%fair 5.52 · @5.00
Aalesund11%fair 8.96 · @7.00
3.73Expected goals
2.68Molde xG
1.05Aalesund xG
63%Both score
72%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
2–09%
3–18%
3–08%
1–17%
1–06%
From our goals model: Molde 2.7 – 1.0 Aalesund expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Molde to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Molde vs Aalesund?
On our numbers Molde have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Aalesund 11%.
How many goals will there be in Molde vs Aalesund?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Molde vs Aalesund?
Our predicted score is Molde 2–1 Aalesund, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Molde vs Aalesund?
Molde vs Aalesund (Eliteserien) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Aker Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
