Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.85Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLillestrom to win ✓64% · @1.85
Double chanceEither team to win ✓88% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.20
Lillestrom vs Valerenga preview and prediction
The match
Lillestrom host Valerenga in the Eliteserien on Saturday 12 September, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT). Lillestrom are 4th with 45 points from 26 games (in the top four), while Valerenga sit 8th on 32 points (in the top half). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Lillestrom's last 5: WWLDD Most recently they beat Brann 2–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Valerenga's last 5: DLWDL Most recently they drew with Sarpsborg 08 FF 2–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 3.0 per game.
Lillestrom arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.1 for Lillestrom and 1.2 for Valerenga. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Lillestrom to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.85, above our fair price of 1.56, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Lillestrom 2–1 Valerenga. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lillestrom64%fair 1.56 · @1.85
Draw12%fair 8.19 · @3.80
Valerenga24%fair 4.20 · @3.40
3.29Expected goals
2.14Lillestrom xG
1.15Valerenga xG
63%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–19%
2–09%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Lillestrom 2.1 – 1.2 Valerenga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lillestrom to win✓
64%
1.56
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
88%
1.14
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.59
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
–
Half-time result
Lillestrom ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lillestrom / FT Lillestrom✓
38%
2.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.20
–
Form
Lillestrom – last 6
WWLDDD
5 Sep
@ Brann
2–1
W
2 Sep
@ Aurskog Finstadbru
3–0
W
30 Aug
vs Fredrikstad
1–4
L
27 Aug
vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë
1–1
D
20 Aug
@ Egnatia Rrogozhinë
0–0
D
15 Aug
@ KFUM Oslo
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Valerenga – last 6
DLWDLL
6 Sep
@ Sarpsborg 08 FF
2–2
D
30 Aug
vs Molde
3–4
L
23 Aug
@ Christiania BK
7–2
W
16 Aug
@ Aalesund
5–5
D
8 Aug
vs BodoGlimt
1–2
L
31 Jul
vs Ham-Kam
0–3
L
3.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lillestrom and Valerenga.
What is the prediction for Lillestrom vs Valerenga?
Our pick is Lillestrom to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Lillestrom vs Valerenga?
On our numbers Lillestrom have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 12% and Valerenga 24%.
How many goals will there be in Lillestrom vs Valerenga?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lillestrom vs Valerenga?
Our predicted score is Lillestrom 2–1 Valerenga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Lillestrom vs Valerenga?
Lillestrom vs Valerenga (Eliteserien) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
