Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Valerenga prediction & analysis
62%
Footrivo pick
Sarpsborg 08 FF to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.95 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.95Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSarpsborg 08 FF to win ✗62% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✗87% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.10
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Valerenga preview and prediction
The match
The Eliteserien sees Sarpsborg 08 FF take on Valerenga on Sunday 6 September, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Sarpsborg Stadion. Sarpsborg 08 FF are 9th with 31 points from 26 games (in the bottom half), while Valerenga sit 8th on 32 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Sarpsborg 08 FF's last 5: DWLLD Most recently they drew with Tromso 0–0 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Valerenga's last 5: LWDLL Most recently they lost to Molde 3–4 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 3.2 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.0 for Sarpsborg 08 FF and 1.1 for Valerenga. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score in 67% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Sarpsborg 08 FF to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.60, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Sarpsborg 08 FF 2–1 Valerenga. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sarpsborg 08 FF62%fair 1.60 · @1.95
Draw13%fair 7.80 · @3.80
Valerenga25%fair 4.03 · @3.10
3.11Expected goals
2.00Sarpsborg 08 FF xG
1.11Valerenga xG
67%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–110%
2–09%
1–09%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Sarpsborg 08 FF 2.0 – 1.1 Valerenga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sarpsborg 08 FF to win✗
62%
1.60
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
87%
1.15
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
67%
1.50
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Sarpsborg 08 FF ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sarpsborg 08 FF / FT Sarpsborg 08 FF✗
37%
2.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.10
–
Form
Sarpsborg 08 FF – last 6
DWLLDW
30 Aug
@ Tromso
0–0
D
22 Aug
@ Sparta Sarpsborg
2–0
W
16 Aug
vs Sandefjord
1–2
L
8 Aug
@ Viking
1–2
L
2 Aug
@ Molde
3–3
D
26 Jul
vs Ham-Kam
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Valerenga – last 6
LWDLLW
30 Aug
vs Molde
3–4
L
23 Aug
@ Christiania BK
7–2
W
16 Aug
@ Aalesund
5–5
D
8 Aug
vs BodoGlimt
1–2
L
31 Jul
vs Ham-Kam
0–3
L
26 Jul
@ Brann
3–2
W
3.2Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sarpsborg 08 FF and Valerenga.
What is the prediction for Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Valerenga?
Our pick is Sarpsborg 08 FF to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Valerenga?
On our numbers Sarpsborg 08 FF have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Valerenga 25%.
How many goals will there be in Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Valerenga?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Valerenga?
Our predicted score is Sarpsborg 08 FF 2–1 Valerenga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Valerenga?
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Valerenga (Eliteserien) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Sarpsborg Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
