Value bet: Fredrikstad to win @ 2.95 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultStart to win ✗39% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.85
Start vs Fredrikstad preview and prediction
The match
Fredrikstad travel to Sparebanken Sør Arena in the Eliteserien on Saturday 8 August (17:00 WAT) to face Start. Start are 16th with 19 points from 26 games (in the bottom three), while Fredrikstad sit 12th on 30 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Start's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Viking 0–3 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Fredrikstad's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Sandefjord 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Fredrikstad arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 29 May 2026, finished Fredrikstad 2–1 Start.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.5 for Start and 1.5 for Fredrikstad. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 55% and both teams to score at 63%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Fredrikstad to win at 2.95 – 38% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Start 1–1 Fredrikstad. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Start39%fair 2.57 · @2.25
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.50
Fredrikstad38%fair 2.61 · @2.95
2.97Expected goals
1.49Start xG
1.48Fredrikstad xG
63%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–18%
1–28%
1–08%
0–18%
2–26%
From our goals model: Start 1.5 – 1.5 Fredrikstad expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Start vs Fredrikstad?
On our numbers Start have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Fredrikstad 38%.
How many goals will there be in Start vs Fredrikstad?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Start vs Fredrikstad?
Our predicted score is Start 1–1 Fredrikstad, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Start vs Fredrikstad?
Start vs Fredrikstad (Eliteserien) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Sparebanken Sør Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
